Penarol vs Cerro: result 2-0 and analysis
Primera DivisiónIntermediate Round - 7Kick-off on June 28, 2025 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Campeón del Siglo, Montevideo
Full time
What was the result of Penarol vs Cerro?
Penarol won 2-0 on June 28, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 51′M. OliveraPenarol
- 56′J. CabreraPenarol
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Penarol have 11 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeats; Cerro have 3, 6 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 22, 2025 | Wanderers(home) | 2-0 | Primera División |
| Jun 19, 2025 | Liverpool Montevideo(away) | 2-3 | Primera División |
| Jun 15, 2025 | CA River Plate(away) | 3-1 | Primera División |
| Jun 7, 2025 | Defensor Sporting(home) | 3-0 | Primera División |
| Jun 1, 2025 | Cerro Largo(away) | 1-1 | Primera División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 22, 2025 | Defensor Sporting(away) | 1-2 | Primera División |
| Jun 19, 2025 | Cerro Largo(home) | 2-1 | Primera División |
| Jun 13, 2025 | Plaza Colonia(away) | 2-2 | Primera División |
| Jun 6, 2025 | CA River Plate(home) | 1-0 | Primera División |
| Jun 1, 2025 | Wanderers(home) | 1-2 | Primera División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Penarol win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Cerro win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 27, 2025 | Penarol 3-1 Cerro | Primera División |
| Sep 22, 2024 | Cerro 0-5 Penarol | Primera División - Clausura |
| Mar 9, 2024 | Penarol 3-0 Cerro | Primera División |
| Aug 19, 2023 | Cerro 1-1 Penarol | Primera División - Clausura |
| Feb 4, 2023 | Penarol 2-0 Cerro | Primera División |
| Jan 16, 2021 | Cerro 1-1 Penarol | Primera División - Clausura |
How many goals should we expect?
Penarol score 2.1 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Cerro score 1.0 and concede 1.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Penarol | 2.1 | 0.8 | 7 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Cerro | 1.0 | 1.5 | 4 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Penarol sit 4th in Primera División (27 points from 15 matches) and Cerro sit 16th (10 points from 15 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Penarol | 61 | 38 | 11 | 12 | 103 | 54 | 125 |
| 1 | Penarol | 24 | 14 | 5 | 5 | 37 | 20 | 47 |
| 1 | Penarol | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 3 | 16 |
| 4 | Penarol | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 23 | 16 | 27 |
| 4 | Cerro | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 6 |
| 6 | Cerro | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 9 |
| 7 | Penarol | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 13 | Cerro | 62 | 19 | 15 | 28 | 50 | 81 | 71 |
| 14 | Cerro | 25 | 7 | 4 | 14 | 17 | 39 | 25 |
| 16 | Cerro | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 8 | 24 | 10 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy