Cerro vs Progreso: result 0-1 and analysis
Primera DivisiónApertura - 6Kick-off on March 14, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Monumental Luis Tróccoli, Montevideo
Full time
What was the result of Cerro vs Progreso?
Progreso won 0-1 on March 14, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 84′F. FernándezProgreso
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cerro have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Progreso have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2026 | Racing Montevideo(away) | 0-1 | Primera División |
| Feb 27, 2026 | Boston River(home) | 1-1 | Primera División |
| Feb 20, 2026 | Liverpool Montevideo(home) | 1-1 | Primera División |
| Feb 16, 2026 | Albion FC(away) | 0-3 | Primera División |
| Feb 9, 2026 | Danubio(home) | 0-1 | Primera División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2026 | Albion FC(home) | 2-2 | Primera División |
| Feb 28, 2026 | Danubio(away) | 2-2 | Primera División |
| Feb 21, 2026 | Club Nacional(home) | 0-1 | Primera División |
| Feb 14, 2026 | Deportivo Maldonado(away) | 0-2 | Primera División |
| Feb 7, 2026 | Central Espanol(home) | 0-3 | Primera División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Cerro win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Progreso win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 5, 2025 | Progreso 2-0 Cerro | Primera División - Clausura |
| Apr 6, 2025 | Cerro 0-0 Progreso | Primera División |
| Sep 14, 2024 | Progreso 0-1 Cerro | Primera División - Clausura |
| Mar 1, 2024 | Cerro 2-3 Progreso | Primera División |
| Sep 10, 2022 | Cerro 1-1 Progreso | Segunda División |
| Jun 18, 2022 | Progreso 0-0 Cerro | Segunda División |
How many goals should we expect?
Cerro score 0.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Progreso score 0.9 and concede 1.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cerro | 0.7 | 1.1 | 6 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
| Progreso | 0.9 | 1.7 | 3 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Cerro sit 16th in Primera División (10 points from 15 matches) and Progreso sit 15th (10 points from 15 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Cerro | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 6 |
| 6 | Cerro | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 9 |
| 7 | Progreso | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 6 |
| 13 | Cerro | 62 | 19 | 15 | 28 | 50 | 81 | 71 |
| 14 | Cerro | 25 | 7 | 4 | 14 | 17 | 39 | 25 |
| 15 | Progreso | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 12 | 23 | 10 |
| 16 | Cerro | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 8 | 24 | 10 |
| 16 | Progreso | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 | Progreso | 61 | 14 | 13 | 34 | 56 | 97 | 55 |
| 16 | Progreso | 24 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 18 | 37 | 16 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy