Cesena vs Novara: result 3-1 and analysis
Serie ARegular Season - 18Kick-off on January 15, 2012 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Orogel Stadium-Dino Manuzzi, Cesena
Full time
What was the result of Cesena vs Novara?
Cesena won 3-1 on January 15, 2012.
Goalscorers
- 20′Adrian MutuCesena
- 39′Adrian MutuCesena (pen.)
- 45′Leandro RinaudoCesena (o.g.)
- 89′Takayuki MorimotoNovara
Official lineup for Cesena vs Novara
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Cesena
- 7Éder
- 10Adrian Mutu
- 5Roberto Guana
- 8A. Candreva
- 18M. Parolo
- 2Guillermo Daniel Rodríguez Pérez
- 13Marco Rossi
- 16Gianluca Comotto
- 25S. von Bergen
- 77L. Ceccarelli
- 1F. Antonioli
Novara
- 25Giuseppe Mascara
- 29Andrea Caracciolo
- 3G. Gemiti
- 7D. Jensen
- 10Marco Rigoni
- 23I. Radovanović
- 14M. Morganella
- 15P. Dellafiore
- 24Massimo Paci
- 77Leandro Rinaudo
- 1S. Ujkani
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cesena have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; Novara have 2, 5 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 8, 2012 | Udinese(away) | 1-4 | Serie A |
| Dec 21, 2011 | Atalanta(away) | 1-4 | Serie A |
| Dec 18, 2011 | Inter(home) | 0-1 | Serie A |
| Dec 10, 2011 | Palermo(away) | 1-0 | Serie A |
| Dec 4, 2011 | Juventus(away) | 0-2 | Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 8, 2012 | Fiorentina(home) | 0-3 | Serie A |
| Dec 21, 2011 | Palermo(home) | 2-2 | Serie A |
| Dec 18, 2011 | Juventus(away) | 0-2 | Serie A |
| Dec 11, 2011 | Napoli(home) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| Dec 5, 2011 | Lazio(away) | 0-3 | Serie A |
How many goals should we expect?
Cesena score 0.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Novara score 0.9 and concede 1.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cesena | 0.5 | 1.3 | 5 | 4/15 | 3/15 |
| Novara | 0.9 | 1.9 | 0 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Cesena vs Novara?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy