Cesena vs Novara: result 3-1 and analysis
Serie ARegular Season - 18Kick-off on January 15, 2012 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Orogel Stadium-Dino Manuzzi, Cesena
Full time
What was the result of Cesena vs Novara?
Cesena won 3-1 on January 15, 2012.
Goalscorers
- 20′Adrian MutuCesena
- 39′Adrian MutuCesena (pen.)
- 45′Leandro RinaudoCesena (o.g.)
- 89′Takayuki MorimotoNovara
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cesena have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; Novara have 2, 5 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 8, 2012 | Udinese(away) | 1-4 | Serie A |
| Dec 21, 2011 | Atalanta(away) | 1-4 | Serie A |
| Dec 18, 2011 | Inter(home) | 0-1 | Serie A |
| Dec 10, 2011 | Palermo(away) | 1-0 | Serie A |
| Dec 4, 2011 | Juventus(away) | 0-2 | Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 8, 2012 | Fiorentina(home) | 0-3 | Serie A |
| Dec 21, 2011 | Palermo(home) | 2-2 | Serie A |
| Dec 18, 2011 | Juventus(away) | 0-2 | Serie A |
| Dec 11, 2011 | Napoli(home) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| Dec 5, 2011 | Lazio(away) | 0-3 | Serie A |
How many goals should we expect?
Cesena score 0.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Novara score 0.9 and concede 1.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cesena | 0.5 | 1.3 | 5 | 4/15 | 3/15 |
| Novara | 0.9 | 1.9 | 0 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy