Match

Cetate Deva vs Nera Bogodinţi: prediction and stats

Liga III - Serie 7Group 7 - 21Kick-off on March 20, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadionul Cetate I, Deva

Cetate DevaNera Bogodinţi

The Footlab model makes Cetate Deva the favourite at 47%, against 24% for a draw and 29% for Nera Bogodinţi. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Cetate Deva vs Nera Bogodinţi?

Cetate Deva starts as the favourite with a 171-point Elo edge (1,542 vs 1,371).

Cetate Deva win47 %
Draw24 %
Nera Bogodinţi win29 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cetate Deva have 3 wins, 7 draws and 5 defeats; Nera Bogodinţi have 0, 0 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Cetate Deva
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 7, 2024Unirea Alba Iulia(away)0-15Cupa României
May 18, 2024Filiaşi(away)2-0Liga III - Serie 7
May 10, 2024Viitorul Şimian(home)2-2Liga III - Serie 7
May 7, 2024Ghiroda şi Giarmata Vii(away)1-3Liga III - Serie 7
May 3, 2024Filiaşi(home)1-3Liga III - Serie 7
Nera Bogodinţi
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Jul 9, 2022Gloria al Oraşului Geoag(away)0-13Cupa României
Jul 6, 2022Turceni(home)0-4Cupa României

How many goals should we expect?

Cetate Deva score 1.7 and concede 2.7 goals per match over their last 15; Nera Bogodinţi score 0.0 and concede 8.5. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Cetate Deva1.72.7410/1511/15
Nera Bogodinţi0.08.500/22/2

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Cetate Deva vs Nera Bogodinţi?
The Footlab model makes Cetate Deva the favourite at 47%, against 24% for a draw and 29% for Nera Bogodinţi.
Where and when is Cetate Deva vs Nera Bogodinţi played?
Cetate Deva vs Nera Bogodinţi is played on March 20, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadionul Cetate I, in the Liga III - Serie 7.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Cetate Deva and Nera Bogodinţi

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