Universitatea Alba Iulia vs Metalurgistul Cugir: prediction and stats
Liga III - Serie 7Group 7 - 21Kick-off on March 20, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Comunal Galtiu, Galtiu
The Footlab model makes Universitatea Alba Iulia the favourite at 42%, against 24% for a draw and 34% for Metalurgistul Cugir. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Universitatea Alba Iulia vs Metalurgistul Cugir?
A very open match: only 13 Elo points separate Universitatea Alba Iulia (1,464) and Metalurgistul Cugir (1,451).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Universitatea Alba Iulia have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Metalurgistul Cugir have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 29, 2026 | CIL Blaj(home) | 3-4 | Cupa României |
| May 16, 2026 | Progresul Pecica(home) | 6-2 | Liga III - Serie 7 |
| May 8, 2026 | Ghiroda şi Giarmata Vii(away) | 0-4 | Liga III - Serie 7 |
| May 1, 2026 | Unirea Sântana(home) | 2-2 | Liga III - Serie 7 |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Unirea DMO(away) | 5-1 | Liga III - Serie 7 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 5, 2026 | Jiul Petroşani(home) | 0-1 | Cupa României |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Hidro Mecanica Sugag(away) | 10-0 | Cupa României |
| May 22, 2026 | Minaur Baia Mare(home) | 3-3 | Liga III - Play-offs |
| May 15, 2026 | Sănătatea Cluj(away) | 2-3 | Liga III - Play-offs |
| May 8, 2026 | Unirea Tășnad(home) | 1-1 | Liga III - Play-offs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Universitatea Alba Iulia win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Metalurgistul Cugir win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2026 | Metalurgistul Cugir 2-1 Universitatea Alba Iulia | Liga III - Serie 7 |
| Oct 3, 2025 | Universitatea Alba Iulia 2-2 Metalurgistul Cugir | Liga III - Serie 7 |
| Jul 30, 2025 | Metalurgistul Cugir 1-2 Universitatea Alba Iulia | Cupa României |
| Feb 28, 2025 | Metalurgistul Cugir 0-3 Universitatea Alba Iulia | Liga III - Serie 7 |
| Oct 12, 2024 | Universitatea Alba Iulia 5-2 Metalurgistul Cugir | Liga III - Serie 7 |
| Aug 7, 2024 | Metalurgistul Cugir 1-3 Universitatea Alba Iulia | Cupa României |
Last archived meeting: Metalurgistul Cugir vs Universitatea Alba Iulia on Feb 27, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Universitatea Alba Iulia score 1.7 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Metalurgistul Cugir score 1.7 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Universitatea Alba Iulia | 1.7 | 1.8 | 4 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Metalurgistul Cugir | 1.7 | 1.7 | 3 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Universitatea Alba Iulia sit 5th in Liga III - Serie 7 (34 points from 6 matches) and Metalurgistul Cugir sit 4th (40 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Metalurgistul Cugir | 22 | 12 | 4 | 6 | 38 | 25 | 40 |
| 5 | Universitatea Alba Iulia | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 14 | 10 | 34 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Universitatea Alba Iulia vs Metalurgistul Cugir?
- The Footlab model makes Universitatea Alba Iulia the favourite at 42%, against 24% for a draw and 34% for Metalurgistul Cugir.
- Where and when is Universitatea Alba Iulia vs Metalurgistul Cugir played?
- Universitatea Alba Iulia vs Metalurgistul Cugir is played on March 20, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Comunal Galtiu, in the Liga III - Serie 7.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.