Cetatea vs Alexandria: prediction and stats
Liga III - Serie 5Group 5 - 9Kick-off on October 16, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Stadionul Municipal, Turnu Măgurele
The Footlab AI model makes Cetatea the favourite at 52%, against 24% for a draw and 24% for Alexandria. The most likely score is 1-1. If Cetatea wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Cetatea vs Alexandria?
On Elo ratings, Cetatea has 1,576 points and Alexandria 1,560.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Cetatea vs Alexandria
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Cetatea
Not enough data to predict the Cetatea lineup.
Alexandria
4-3-3- CC. Cocoș
- SS. Iakabfi
- BB. Yaméogo
- MM. RÄducan
- VV. Danale
- VV. Constantin
- VV. Georgescu
- AA. Bobaru
- PPetruș Pintilie
- GG. Nedelea
- II. Pletea
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 09:39 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cetatea have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Alexandria have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Oxigen Bucuresti(away) | 0-2 | Liga III - Serie 5 |
| Oct 2, 2026 | LPS HD Clinceni(home) | 2-2 | Liga III - Serie 5 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Progresul Mogosoaia(away) | 3-3 | Liga III - Serie 5 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Dinamo Bucureşti II(away) | 3-1 | Liga III - Serie 5 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Voluntari II(home) | 2-2 | Liga III - Serie 5 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Dinamo Bucureşti II(home) | 1-0 | Liga III - Serie 5 |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Voluntari II(away) | 2-0 | Liga III - Serie 5 |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Axi Adunații-Copăceni(home) | 2-0 | Liga III - Serie 5 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | FCSB II(away) | 3-1 | Liga III - Serie 5 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Dunărea 2020 Giurgiu(home) | 2-2 | Liga III - Serie 5 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Cetatea wins, 1 draw, 3 Alexandria wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2026 | Alexandria 1-1 Cetatea | Liga III - Serie 5 |
| Oct 24, 2025 | Cetatea 2-0 Alexandria | Liga III - Serie 5 |
| Nov 1, 2024 | Cetatea 0-1 Alexandria | Liga III - Serie 4 |
| Sep 1, 2024 | Alexandria 3-0 Cetatea | Liga III - Serie 4 |
| Dec 3, 2022 | Cetatea 3-1 Alexandria | Liga III - Serie 6 |
| Oct 2, 2022 | Alexandria 7-1 Cetatea | Liga III - Serie 6 |
Last archived meeting: Alexandria vs Cetatea on Mar 20, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Cetatea score 1.9 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Alexandria score 1.4 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cetatea | 1.9 | 1.7 | 3 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Alexandria | 1.4 | 1.2 | 5 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Cetatea sit 6th in Liga III - Serie 5 (9 points from 7 matches) and Alexandria sit 3rd (14 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Alexandria | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 6 | 14 |
| 6 | Cetatea | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 19 | 11 | 9 |
A question about Cetatea vs Alexandria?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Cetatea vs Alexandria?
- The Footlab AI model makes Cetatea the favourite at 52%, against 24% for a draw and 24% for Alexandria.
- Where and when is Cetatea vs Alexandria played?
- Cetatea vs Alexandria is played on October 16, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Stadionul Municipal, in the Liga III - Serie 5.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.