Alexandria vs FCSB II: prediction and stats
Liga III - Serie 5Group 5 - 16Kick-off on December 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadionul Comunal 2, Clinceni
The Footlab model makes Alexandria the favourite at 38%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for FCSB II. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Alexandria vs FCSB II?
A very open match: only 51 Elo points separate Alexandria (1,429) and FCSB II (1,480).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Alexandria have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; FCSB II have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 29, 2026 | Dunărea 2020 Giurgiu(away) | 0-3 | Cupa României |
| May 15, 2026 | CSL Nanov(away) | 2-2 | Liga III - Serie 5 |
| May 8, 2026 | Filiaşi(home) | 2-0 | Liga III - Serie 5 |
| May 1, 2026 | Axi Adunații-Copăceni(away) | 1-2 | Liga III - Serie 5 |
| Apr 24, 2026 | Dunărea 2020 Giurgiu(home) | 0-1 | Liga III - Serie 5 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 15, 2026 | Dinamo Bucureşti II(away) | 3-1 | Liga III - Serie 3 |
| May 8, 2026 | Agigea(home) | 3-0 | Liga III - Serie 3 |
| May 1, 2026 | Axiopolis(away) | 1-1 | Liga III - Serie 3 |
| Apr 24, 2026 | Recolta Gheorghe Doja(home) | 2-2 | Liga III - Serie 3 |
| Apr 17, 2026 | Gloria Băneasa(away) | 2-0 | Liga III - Serie 3 |
How many goals should we expect?
Alexandria score 1.5 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; FCSB II score 2.3 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexandria | 1.5 | 1.7 | 4 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| FCSB II | 2.3 | 1.5 | 3 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Alexandria | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 9 | 43 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Alexandria vs FCSB II?
- The Footlab model makes Alexandria the favourite at 38%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for FCSB II.
- Where and when is Alexandria vs FCSB II played?
- Alexandria vs FCSB II is played on December 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadionul Comunal 2, in the Liga III - Serie 5.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.