Dinamo Bucureşti II vs Progresul Spartac: prediction and stats
Liga III - Serie 5Group 5 - 9Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stadionul Romprim, Bucureşti
The Footlab model makes Progresul Spartac the favourite at 50%, against 24% for a draw and 26% for Dinamo Bucureşti II. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Dinamo Bucureşti II vs Progresul Spartac?
Progresul Spartac starts as the favourite with a 180-point Elo edge (1,478 vs 1,298).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Dinamo Bucureşti II have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; Progresul Spartac have 8, 1 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 15, 2026 | FCSB II(home) | 1-3 | Liga III - Serie 3 |
| May 8, 2026 | Voluntari II(away) | 2-1 | Liga III - Serie 3 |
| May 1, 2026 | Agigea(away) | 1-1 | Liga III - Serie 3 |
| Apr 24, 2026 | Axiopolis(home) | 2-4 | Liga III - Serie 3 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Recolta Gheorghe Doja(away) | 1-2 | Liga III - Serie 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | CIL Blaj(away) | 3-1 | Cupa României |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Metaloglobus(home) | 2-1 | Cupa României |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Bolintin Vale(away) | 3-1 | Cupa României |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Progresul Fundulea(home) | 2-0 | Cupa României |
| May 15, 2026 | Axi Adunații-Copăceni(away) | 8-0 | Liga III - Serie 5 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Dinamo Bucureşti II win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Progresul Spartac win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2021 | Dinamo Bucureşti II 1-2 Progresul Spartac | Liga III - Serie 4 |
| Sep 19, 2020 | Progresul Spartac 5-1 Dinamo Bucureşti II | Liga III - Serie 4 |
Last archived meeting: Dinamo Bucureşti II vs Progresul Spartac on Mar 12, 2021
How many goals should we expect?
Dinamo Bucureşti II score 1.4 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Progresul Spartac score 2.5 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dinamo Bucureşti II | 1.4 | 2.1 | 2 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Progresul Spartac | 2.5 | 1.7 | 3 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Progresul Spartac | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 8 | 35 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Dinamo Bucureşti II vs Progresul Spartac?
- The Footlab model makes Progresul Spartac the favourite at 50%, against 24% for a draw and 26% for Dinamo Bucureşti II.
- Where and when is Dinamo Bucureşti II vs Progresul Spartac played?
- Dinamo Bucureşti II vs Progresul Spartac is played on October 17, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Stadionul Romprim, in the Liga III - Serie 5.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.