CF Montreal vs Forge: prediction and stats
Canadian ChampionshipFinalKick-off on October 21, 2026 at 11:00 PM (UTC)Stade Saputo, Montreal, Quebec
The Footlab AI model makes Forge the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for CF Montreal. The most likely score is 1-1. If Forge wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.5% of the 2,583 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 17, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win CF Montreal vs Forge?
Forge starts as the favourite with a 105-point Elo edge (1,764 vs 1,659).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for CF Montreal vs Forge
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
CF Montreal
4-2-3-1- 14D. Ríos
- 8M. Longstaff
- 10A. Sánchez
- 22V. Loturi
- 16W. Carmona
- 23N. Streit
- 2J. Neal
- 13L. Petrasso
- 5B. Craig
- 27D. Bugaj
- 1S. Breza
Forge
4-3-3- 87M. Bourgeois
- 90L. Cavallini
- 17H. Massunda
- 23A. Aromatario
- 8A. Batisse
- 22N. Jensen
- 5D. Nimick
- 24R. Rama
- 3M. Jevremović
- 6B. Paton
- 36Dino Bontis
Computed on October 17, 2026 at 04:45 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, CF Montreal have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Forge have 6, 6 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2026 | Atlanta United FC(home) | 0-3 | Major League Soccer |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Toronto FC(away) | 1-2 | Major League Soccer |
| Sep 26, 2026 | FC Cincinnati(home) | 3-1 | Major League Soccer |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Columbus Crew(home) | 0-2 | Major League Soccer |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Vancouver Whitecaps(home) | 2-1 | Canadian Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2026 | York United(home) | 5-0 | Canadian Premier League |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Pacific FC(home) | 3-0 | Canadian Premier League |
| Oct 3, 2026 | HFX Wanderers FC(home) | 3-3 | Canadian Premier League |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Vancouver FC(away) | 1-1 | Canadian Premier League |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Cavalry FC(away) | 1-1 | Canadian Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 CF Montreal wins, 2 draws, 2 Forge wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 9, 2025 | CF Montreal 2-2 Forge | Canadian Championship |
| May 20, 2025 | Forge 1-0 CF Montreal | Canadian Championship |
| May 22, 2024 | CF Montreal 1-2 Forge | Canadian Championship |
| May 7, 2024 | Forge 1-1 CF Montreal | Canadian Championship |
| May 24, 2023 | CF Montreal 2-0 Forge | Canadian Championship |
| May 25, 2022 | CF Montreal 3-0 Forge | Canadian Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
CF Montreal score 1.1 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Forge score 1.7 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CF Montreal | 1.1 | 1.9 | 0 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Forge | 1.7 | 0.9 | 6 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about CF Montreal vs Forge?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for CF Montreal vs Forge?
- The Footlab AI model makes Forge the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for CF Montreal.
- Where and when is CF Montreal vs Forge played?
- CF Montreal vs Forge is played on October 21, 2026 at 11:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Saputo, in the Canadian Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.5% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.