Match

Cham vs Stadeln: prediction and stats

Oberliga - Bayern NordBayern Nord - 21Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Kappenberger Sportzentrum, Cham

ChamStadeln

The Footlab model makes Cham the favourite at 69%, against 19% for a draw and 12% for Stadeln. The most likely score is 2-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Cham vs Stadeln?

Cham starts as the favourite with a 199-point Elo edge (1,878 vs 1,679).

Cham win69 %
Draw19 %
Stadeln win12 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cham have 10 wins, 1 draws and 4 defeats; Stadeln have 5, 5 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Cham
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 21, 2026Viktoria Aschaffenburg(home)4-1Oberliga - Bayern Nord
Aug 18, 2026Jahn Regensburg II(away)2-0Oberliga - Bayern Nord
Aug 14, 2026Gebenbach(home)0-1Oberliga - Bayern Nord
Aug 7, 2026Stadeln(away)3-0Oberliga - Bayern Nord
Jul 31, 2026Fortuna Regensburg(home)2-1Oberliga - Bayern Nord
Stadeln
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026ASV Neumarkt(away)3-1Oberliga - Bayern Nord
Aug 18, 2026Ammerthal(home)1-1Oberliga - Bayern Nord
Aug 14, 2026DJK Bamberg(away)2-0Oberliga - Bayern Nord
Aug 7, 2026Cham(home)0-3Oberliga - Bayern Nord
Aug 1, 2026Eintracht Bamberg(away)0-0Oberliga - Bayern Nord

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 3 meetings: 2 Cham win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Stadeln win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Aug 7, 2026Stadeln 0-3 ChamOberliga - Bayern Nord
May 9, 2026Stadeln 1-0 ChamOberliga - Bayern Nord
Oct 24, 2025Cham 2-0 StadelnOberliga - Bayern Nord

Last archived meeting: Stadeln vs Cham on Aug 7, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Cham score 2.1 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Stadeln score 1.1 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Cham2.10.966/158/15
Stadeln1.11.465/156/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Cham sit 2nd in Oberliga - Bayern Nord (62 points from 33 matches) and Stadeln sit 15th (35 points from 32 matches).

2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
2Cham331887623562
15Stadeln3211219426535

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Cham vs Stadeln?
The Footlab model makes Cham the favourite at 69%, against 19% for a draw and 12% for Stadeln.
Where and when is Cham vs Stadeln played?
Cham vs Stadeln is played on November 28, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Kappenberger Sportzentrum, in the Oberliga - Bayern Nord.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Cham and Stadeln

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