Ingolstadt II vs Viktoria Aschaffenburg: prediction and stats
Oberliga - Bayern NordBayern Nord - 21Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)BZA Süd-Ost, Ingolstadt
The Footlab model makes Ingolstadt II the favourite at 54%, against 22% for a draw and 24% for Viktoria Aschaffenburg. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ingolstadt II vs Viktoria Aschaffenburg?
A very open match: only 68 Elo points separate Ingolstadt II (1,780) and Viktoria Aschaffenburg (1,712).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ingolstadt II have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Viktoria Aschaffenburg have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Großbardorf(away) | 3-0 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Nordlingen(away) | 3-3 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Würzburger FV(home) | 1-4 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Viktoria Aschaffenburg(away) | 0-2 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Jahn Regensburg II(home) | 3-0 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Cham(away) | 1-4 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Eintracht Bamberg(home) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Neudrossenfeld(away) | 0-3 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Ingolstadt II(home) | 2-0 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Nordlingen(away) | 4-0 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Ingolstadt II win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Viktoria Aschaffenburg win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | Viktoria Aschaffenburg 2-0 Ingolstadt II | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
Last archived meeting: Viktoria Aschaffenburg vs Ingolstadt II on Aug 8, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Ingolstadt II score 1.9 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Viktoria Aschaffenburg score 1.3 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ingolstadt II | 1.9 | 2.1 | 3 | 9/15 | 13/15 |
| Viktoria Aschaffenburg | 1.3 | 1.9 | 4 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Ingolstadt II | 32 | 14 | 7 | 12 | 64 | 54 | 48 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ingolstadt II vs Viktoria Aschaffenburg?
- The Footlab model makes Ingolstadt II the favourite at 54%, against 22% for a draw and 24% for Viktoria Aschaffenburg.
- Where and when is Ingolstadt II vs Viktoria Aschaffenburg played?
- Ingolstadt II vs Viktoria Aschaffenburg is played on November 28, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at BZA Süd-Ost, in the Oberliga - Bayern Nord.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.