Match

Ammerthal vs Weiden: prediction and stats

Oberliga - Bayern NordBayern Nord - 21Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Sportplatz Ammerthal, Ammerthal

AmmerthalWeiden

The Footlab model makes Weiden the favourite at 47%, against 23% for a draw and 30% for Ammerthal. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Ammerthal vs Weiden?

A very open match: only 92 Elo points separate Ammerthal (1,650) and Weiden (1,742).

Ammerthal win30 %
Draw23 %
Weiden win47 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ammerthal have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; Weiden have 5, 4 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Ammerthal
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Gebenbach(home)1-3Oberliga - Bayern Nord
Aug 18, 2026Stadeln(away)1-1Oberliga - Bayern Nord
Aug 14, 2026Fortuna Regensburg(home)1-3Oberliga - Bayern Nord
Aug 7, 2026Weiden(away)2-1Oberliga - Bayern Nord
Jul 31, 2026Bayern Hof(home)1-2Oberliga - Bayern Nord
Weiden
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Bayern Hof(away)3-1Oberliga - Bayern Nord
Aug 18, 2026Kornburg(home)2-7Oberliga - Bayern Nord
Aug 15, 2026ASV Neumarkt(away)3-3Oberliga - Bayern Nord
Aug 7, 2026Ammerthal(home)1-2Oberliga - Bayern Nord
Jul 31, 2026DJK Bamberg(away)2-2Oberliga - Bayern Nord

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 5 meetings: 4 Ammerthal win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Weiden win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Aug 7, 2026Weiden 1-2 AmmerthalOberliga - Bayern Nord
Nov 29, 2024Weiden 2-2 AmmerthalOberliga - Bayern Nord
Aug 14, 2024Ammerthal 2-0 WeidenOberliga - Bayern Nord
May 27, 2023Weiden 1-3 AmmerthalOberliga - Bayern Nord
Oct 29, 2022Ammerthal 3-1 WeidenOberliga - Bayern Nord

Last archived meeting: Weiden vs Ammerthal on Aug 7, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Ammerthal score 1.1 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Weiden score 1.7 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Ammerthal1.12.3210/159/15
Weiden1.71.9310/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
6Weiden3213118573950

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Ammerthal vs Weiden?
The Footlab model makes Weiden the favourite at 47%, against 23% for a draw and 30% for Ammerthal.
Where and when is Ammerthal vs Weiden played?
Ammerthal vs Weiden is played on November 28, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Sportplatz Ammerthal, in the Oberliga - Bayern Nord.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Ammerthal and Weiden

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