Chapelton vs Treasure Beach: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 6Kick-off on October 18, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Anthony Spaulding Sports Complex, Kingston
The Footlab AI model makes Treasure Beach the favourite at 38%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for Chapelton. The most likely score is 1-1. If Treasure Beach wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,491 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Chapelton vs Treasure Beach?
A very open match: only 13 Elo points separate Chapelton (1,493) and Treasure Beach (1,479).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Chapelton vs Treasure Beach
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Chapelton
Not enough data to predict the Chapelton lineup.
Treasure Beach
Not enough data to predict the Treasure Beach lineup.
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 10:02 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chapelton have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Treasure Beach have 4, 6 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Humble Lions(away) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Oct 5, 2026 | Waterhouse(home) | 0-6 | Premier League |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Tivoli Gardens(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Molynes United(home) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Montego Bay United(away) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 2026 | Humble Lions(home) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 28, 2026 | Waterhouse(away) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Tivoli Gardens(home) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Molynes United(away) | 2-3 | Premier League |
| May 6, 2026 | Molynes United(home) | 0-2 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 3 Chapelton wins, 0 draws, 0 Treasure Beach wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 15, 2026 | Treasure Beach 0-3 Chapelton | Premier League |
| Feb 15, 2026 | Chapelton 2-0 Treasure Beach | Premier League |
| Jan 1, 2026 | Treasure Beach 0-1 Chapelton | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Treasure Beach vs Chapelton on Apr 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Chapelton score 1.4 and concede 2.4 goals per match over their last 15; Treasure Beach score 1.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chapelton | 1.4 | 2.4 | 3 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Treasure Beach | 1.1 | 1.3 | 5 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Chapelton sit 8th in Premier League (5 points from 5 matches) and Treasure Beach sit 13th (2 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Chapelton | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 5 |
| 13 | Treasure Beach | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 2 |
A question about Chapelton vs Treasure Beach?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Chapelton vs Treasure Beach?
- The Footlab AI model makes Treasure Beach the favourite at 38%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for Chapelton.
- Where and when is Chapelton vs Treasure Beach played?
- Chapelton vs Treasure Beach is played on October 18, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Anthony Spaulding Sports Complex, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.