Charleroi vs RAAL La Louvière: prediction and stats
Jupiler Pro LeagueRegular Season - 10Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stade du Pays de Charleroi, Charleroi
The Footlab model makes Charleroi the favourite at 56%, against 25% for a draw and 20% for RAAL La Louvière. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Charleroi vs RAAL La Louvière?
Charleroi starts as the favourite with a 136-point Elo edge (1,988 vs 1,851).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Charleroi have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; RAAL La Louvière have 2, 3 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | KV Mechelen(home) | 2-0 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Lommel United(away) | 1-0 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | OH Leuven(home) | 3-1 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Rayo Vallecano(home) | 2-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Seraing United(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Standard Liege(away) | 0-2 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Gent(home) | 1-2 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Anderlecht(away) | 1-2 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Eintracht Braunschweig(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Samsunspor(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Charleroi win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 RAAL La Louvière win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 29, 2025 | Charleroi 0-0 RAAL La Louvière | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 10, 2025 | RAAL La Louvière 1-0 Charleroi | Jupiler Pro League |
Last archived meeting: Charleroi vs RAAL La Louvière on Nov 29, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Charleroi score 1.5 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; RAAL La Louvière score 0.7 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charleroi | 1.5 | 1.0 | 6 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| RAAL La Louvière | 0.7 | 1.8 | 2 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Charleroi sit 2nd in Jupiler Pro League (9 points from 3 matches) and RAAL La Louvière sit 15th (0 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Charleroi | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 9 |
| 15 | RAAL La Louvière | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Charleroi vs RAAL La Louvière?
- The Footlab model makes Charleroi the favourite at 56%, against 25% for a draw and 20% for RAAL La Louvière.
- Where and when is Charleroi vs RAAL La Louvière played?
- Charleroi vs RAAL La Louvière is played on October 31, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stade du Pays de Charleroi, in the Jupiler Pro League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.