Match

KV Mechelen vs Genk: prediction and stats

Jupiler Pro LeagueRegular Season - 10Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)AFAS Stadion, Malines

KV MechelenGenk

The Footlab AI model makes Genk the favourite at 47%, against 26% for a draw and 27% for KV Mechelen. The most likely score is 1-1. If Genk wins, the most likely score is 0-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win KV Mechelen vs Genk?

Genk starts as the favourite with a 174-point Elo edge (2,066 vs 1,893).

27%26%47%
KV Mechelen winDrawGenk win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for KV Mechelen vs Genk

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

KV Mechelen

3-4-2-1
  1. 28Bouke Boersma
  1. 6F. Hammar
  2. 9M. van Brederode
  3. 7T. Koudou
  4. 26D. Praet
  5. 23S. Michez
  6. 17C. Van Meirvenne
  1. 3José Marsà
  2. 44M. Eerdhuijzen
  3. 2L. Marijnissen
  1. 13Nacho Mirás

Genk

4-2-3-1
  1. 17R. Durosinmi
  1. 8B. Heynen
  2. 10J. Ito
  3. 11J. Erenbjerg
  4. 32Noah Adedeji-Sternberg
  5. 21I. Bangoura
  1. 20K. Amaro
  2. 18J. Kayembe
  3. 44J. Kongolo
  4. 6M. Smets
  1. 28L. Kiaba Mounganga

Computed on October 9, 2026 at 12:53 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, KV Mechelen have 2 wins, 4 draws and 9 defeats; Genk have 5, 3 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

KV Mechelen
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 3, 2026Karpaty(home)2-3Friendlies Clubs
Sep 19, 2026Lommel United(away)0-0Jupiler Pro League
Sep 11, 2026Anderlecht(home)0-1Jupiler Pro League
Sep 5, 2026KVC Westerlo(home)0-4Jupiler Pro League
Aug 29, 2026RAAL La Louvière(away)2-2Jupiler Pro League
Genk
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 3, 2026Fortuna Sittard(home)1-2Friendlies Clubs
Sep 20, 2026Club Brugge KV(away)0-3Jupiler Pro League
Sep 13, 2026Gent(home)1-1Jupiler Pro League
Sep 6, 2026Anderlecht(away)0-0Jupiler Pro League
Aug 28, 2026SK Beveren(home)4-0Jupiler Pro League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 KV Mechelen win, 1 draw, 4 Genk wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 13, 2026KV Mechelen 2-3 GenkJupiler Pro League
Nov 23, 2025Genk 0-1 KV MechelenJupiler Pro League
Jan 18, 2025KV Mechelen 1-2 GenkJupiler Pro League
Sep 28, 2024Genk 2-1 KV MechelenJupiler Pro League
Feb 11, 2024KV Mechelen 1-1 GenkJupiler Pro League
Oct 22, 2023Genk 4-0 KV MechelenJupiler Pro League

Last archived meeting: KV Mechelen vs Genk on Feb 13, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

KV Mechelen score 0.9 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Genk score 1.6 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
KV Mechelen0.91.745/158/15
Genk1.62.029/1512/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

KV Mechelen sit 18th in Jupiler Pro League (3 points from 7 matches) and Genk sit 10th (9 points from 7 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
10Genk723213129
18KV Mechelen70345143

A question about KV Mechelen vs Genk?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for KV Mechelen vs Genk?
The Footlab AI model makes Genk the favourite at 47%, against 26% for a draw and 27% for KV Mechelen.
Where and when is KV Mechelen vs Genk played?
KV Mechelen vs Genk is played on October 31, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at AFAS Stadion, in the Jupiler Pro League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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