St. Truiden vs OH Leuven: prediction and stats
Jupiler Pro LeagueRegular Season - 10Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Daio Wasabi Stayen Stadium, St.-Trond
The Footlab AI model makes St. Truiden the favourite at 59%, against 23% for a draw and 18% for OH Leuven. The most likely score is 1-1. If St. Truiden wins, the most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.9% of the 1,758 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win St. Truiden vs OH Leuven?
St. Truiden starts as the favourite with a 167-point Elo edge (2,032 vs 1,866).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for St. Truiden vs OH Leuven
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
St. Truiden
4-2-3-1- 9S. Baždar
- 8A. Sissako
- 10I. Sebaoui
- 71R. Araki
- 14R. Merlen
- 38K. Matsuzawa
- 26V. Musliu
- 60R. Vanwesemael
- 3T. Hata
- 5S. Taniguchi
- 16L. Kokubo
OH Leuven
3-4-3- 8S. Schrijvers
- 9A. Traoré
- 18R. Mirisola
- 27Óscar Gil
- 6W. George
- 4B. Verstraete
- 99D. Opoku
- 3N. Dussenne
- 5J. Lawrence
- 34R. Nyakossi
- 1D. van den Heuvel
Computed on October 8, 2026 at 02:45 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, St. Truiden have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; OH Leuven have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | KVC Westerlo(home) | 0-2 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Sep 12, 2026 | SK Beveren(away) | 0-2 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Sep 5, 2026 | RAAL La Louvière(home) | 4-0 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Sep 2, 2026 | Union St. Gilloise(home) | 0-3 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Antwerp(away) | 4-1 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | RAAL La Louvière(home) | 2-0 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Cercle Brugge(home) | 1-1 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Sep 6, 2026 | SK Beveren(away) | 0-3 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Sep 3, 2026 | Gent(away) | 0-1 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Standard Liege(home) | 1-2 | Jupiler Pro League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 St. Truiden wins, 1 draw, 2 OH Leuven wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2026 | St. Truiden 1-0 OH Leuven | Jupiler Pro League |
| Nov 23, 2025 | OH Leuven 1-2 St. Truiden | Jupiler Pro League |
| Mar 16, 2025 | OH Leuven 3-2 St. Truiden | Jupiler Pro League |
| Sep 15, 2024 | St. Truiden 2-1 OH Leuven | Jupiler Pro League |
| May 17, 2024 | St. Truiden 1-1 OH Leuven | Jupiler Pro League |
| Apr 20, 2024 | OH Leuven 1-0 St. Truiden | Jupiler Pro League |
Last archived meeting: St. Truiden vs OH Leuven on Jan 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
St. Truiden score 1.9 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; OH Leuven score 1.5 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| St. Truiden | 1.9 | 1.4 | 5 | 5/15 | 9/15 |
| OH Leuven | 1.5 | 2.0 | 3 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
St. Truiden sit 11th in Jupiler Pro League (8 points from 7 matches) and OH Leuven sit 15th (4 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | St. Truiden | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 8 |
| 15 | OH Leuven | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 4 |
A question about St. Truiden vs OH Leuven?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for St. Truiden vs OH Leuven?
- The Footlab AI model makes St. Truiden the favourite at 59%, against 23% for a draw and 18% for OH Leuven.
- Where and when is St. Truiden vs OH Leuven played?
- St. Truiden vs OH Leuven is played on October 31, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Daio Wasabi Stayen Stadium, in the Jupiler Pro League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.9% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.