Match

Charlotte Independence vs Alta: prediction and stats

USL League OneGroup StageKick-off on August 28, 2026 at 11:00 PM (UTC)American Legion Memorial Stadium, Charlotte, North Carolina

Charlotte IndependenceAlta

The Footlab model makes Charlotte Independence the favourite at 62%, against 20% for a draw and 18% for Alta. The most likely score is 2-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Charlotte Independence vs Alta?

Charlotte Independence starts as the favourite with a 101-point Elo edge (1,763 vs 1,663).

Charlotte Independence win62 %
Draw20 %
Alta win18 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Charlotte Independence have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Alta have 6, 3 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Charlotte Independence
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Forward Madison(away)1-1USL League One
Aug 15, 2026Sarasota Paradise(home)3-1USL League One
Aug 12, 2026Hartford Athletic(home)2-4USL League One Cup
Aug 8, 2026Greenville Triumph(home)1-0USL League One
Aug 1, 2026One Knoxville(home)3-1USL League One
Alta
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Naples(home)1-2USL League One
Aug 15, 2026NY Cosmos(away)0-1USL League One
Aug 9, 2026Fort Wayne(home)3-0USL League One
Aug 5, 2026Naples(away)1-2USL League One
Aug 1, 2026Richmond Kickers(away)2-3USL League One

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Charlotte Independence win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Alta win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Jul 6, 2026Alta 1-1 Charlotte IndependenceUSL League One
Oct 10, 2025Charlotte Independence 3-2 AltaUSL League One
May 25, 2025Alta 2-1 Charlotte IndependenceUSL League One

Last archived meeting: Alta vs Charlotte Independence on Jul 6, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Charlotte Independence score 2.1 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Alta score 1.3 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Charlotte Independence2.11.5311/1510/15
Alta1.31.249/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Charlotte Independence sit 2nd in USL League One (43 points from 21 matches) and Alta sit 8th (32 points from 24 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
2Charlotte Independence211344472943
8Alta24888332932

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Charlotte Independence vs Alta?
The Footlab model makes Charlotte Independence the favourite at 62%, against 20% for a draw and 18% for Alta.
Where and when is Charlotte Independence vs Alta played?
Charlotte Independence vs Alta is played on August 28, 2026 at 11:00 PM (UTC) at American Legion Memorial Stadium, in the USL League One.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Charlotte Independence and Alta

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