Saumur vs Avranches: prediction and stats
National 2 - Group BGroup B - 14Kick-off on January 16, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stade des Rives du Thouet, Saumur
The Footlab AI model makes Avranches the favourite at 53%, against 25% for a draw and 22% for Saumur. The most likely score is 1-1. If Avranches wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Saumur vs Avranches?
Avranches starts as the favourite with a 154-point Elo edge (1,769 vs 1,615).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Saumur vs Avranches
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Saumur
Not enough data to predict the Saumur lineup.
Avranches
4-3-3- 7V. Crehin
- 14K. Herbin
- 17P. Terrien
- 25J. Pi
- 8C. Boateng
- 6N. Françoise
- 3P. Bourdin
- 26É. Dudouit
- 24S. Mazikou
- 4B. Mbaye
- 1A. Beuve
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 07:26 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Saumur have 1 win, 5 draws and 9 defeats; Avranches have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | Saint-Malo(away) | 1-2 | National 2 - Group B |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Stade Briochin(home) | 1-4 | National 2 - Group B |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Le Poiré sur Vie(away) | 0-2 | National 2 - Group B |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Pontivy GSI(home) | 2-1 | National 2 - Group B |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Bayonne(away) | 0-1 | National 2 - Group B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 2, 2026 | Chauray(away) | 2-0 | National 2 - Group B |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Saint-Colomban Locminé(away) | 0-1 | National 2 - Group B |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Dinan Léhon(home) | 0-0 | National 2 - Group B |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Les Herbiers(away) | 2-1 | National 2 - Group B |
| Aug 28, 2026 | Angoulême(home) | 1-1 | National 2 - Group B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Saumur win, 0 draws, 5 Avranches wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 7, 2026 | Avranches 5-2 Saumur | National 2 - Group A |
| Aug 30, 2025 | Saumur 2-0 Avranches | National 2 - Group A |
| Mar 22, 2025 | Saumur 0-3 Avranches | National 2 - Group B |
| Nov 1, 2024 | Avranches 3-2 Saumur | National 2 - Group B |
| Feb 23, 2013 | Avranches 2-1 Saumur | National 2 - Group D |
| Sep 8, 2012 | Saumur 0-4 Avranches | National 2 - Group D |
How many goals should we expect?
Saumur score 0.7 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Avranches score 1.5 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saumur | 0.7 | 2.0 | 4 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Avranches | 1.5 | 1.2 | 4 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Saumur sit 13th in National 2 - Group B (4 points from 6 matches) and Avranches sit 4th (11 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Avranches | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 11 |
| 13 | Saumur | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 4 |
A question about Saumur vs Avranches?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Saumur vs Avranches?
- The Footlab AI model makes Avranches the favourite at 53%, against 25% for a draw and 22% for Saumur.
- Where and when is Saumur vs Avranches played?
- Saumur vs Avranches is played on January 16, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stade des Rives du Thouet, in the National 2 - Group B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.