Saint-Malo vs Tarbes: prediction and stats
National 2 - Group BGroup B - 14Kick-off on January 16, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stade de Marville, Saint-Malo
The Footlab AI model makes Saint-Malo the favourite at 51%, against 27% for a draw and 22% for Tarbes. The most likely score is 1-1. If Saint-Malo wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 2,921 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 21, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Saint-Malo vs Tarbes?
Saint-Malo starts as the favourite with a 128-point Elo edge (1,889 vs 1,762).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Saint-Malo vs Tarbes
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Saint-Malo
Not enough data to predict the Saint-Malo lineup.
Tarbes
4-3-3- 9Y. Fellrath
- 6B. Ait Malek
- 11V. Delanys
- 7Sofiane El Bekri
- 33Alexandre Amorin
- 22M. Cato
- 31A. Ben Aicha
- 2J. Willock
- 4P. Bentayou
- 17Faris Sinare
- 1T. Navaux
Computed on October 21, 2026 at 12:06 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Saint-Malo have 6 wins, 6 draws and 3 defeats; Tarbes have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Lorient II(away) | 1-3 | National 2 - Group B |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Saumur(home) | 2-1 | National 2 - Group B |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Granville(away) | 0-1 | National 2 - Group B |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Saint-Colomban Locminé(home) | 1-0 | National 2 - Group B |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Stade Briochin(home) | 0-0 | National 2 - Group B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Avranches(away) | 0-2 | National 2 - Group B |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Dinan Léhon(home) | 0-0 | National 2 - Group B |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Les Herbiers(away) | 1-0 | National 2 - Group B |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Angoulême(home) | 1-2 | National 2 - Group B |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Châteaubriant(away) | 0-0 | National 2 - Group B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Saint-Malo wins, 0 draws, 2 Tarbes wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2015 | Tarbes 2-1 Saint-Malo | National 2 - Group D |
| Nov 22, 2014 | Saint-Malo 0-1 Tarbes | National 2 - Group D |
How many goals should we expect?
Saint-Malo score 1.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Tarbes score 1.5 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saint-Malo | 1.3 | 1.1 | 4 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| Tarbes | 1.5 | 0.7 | 9 | 4/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Saint-Malo sit 7th in National 2 - Group B (11 points from 7 matches) and Tarbes sit 10th (9 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Saint-Malo | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 6 | 11 |
| 10 | Tarbes | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 9 |
A question about Saint-Malo vs Tarbes?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Saint-Malo vs Tarbes?
- The Footlab AI model makes Saint-Malo the favourite at 51%, against 27% for a draw and 22% for Tarbes.
- Where and when is Saint-Malo vs Tarbes played?
- Saint-Malo vs Tarbes is played on January 16, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stade de Marville, in the National 2 - Group B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.