Chateauroux vs Bourges Foot: prediction and stats
National 2 - Group CGroup C - 11Kick-off on December 5, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stade Gaston Petit, Châteauroux
The Footlab model makes Chateauroux the favourite at 45%, against 27% for a draw and 28% for Bourges Foot. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Chateauroux vs Bourges Foot?
A very open match: only 28 Elo points separate Chateauroux (1,701) and Bourges Foot (1,673).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chateauroux have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Bourges Foot have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Hauts Lyonnais(away) | 0-0 | National 2 - Group C |
| May 15, 2026 | Valenciennes(away) | 2-2 | Ligue 3 |
| May 9, 2026 | Sochaux(home) | 2-1 | Ligue 3 |
| Apr 30, 2026 | Dijon(away) | 2-1 | Ligue 3 |
| Apr 24, 2026 | Fleury 91(home) | 0-2 | Ligue 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 21, 2021 | Orleans(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Oct 10, 2020 | Trélissac(away) | 1-1 | National 2 - Group D |
| Sep 26, 2020 | Moulins-Yzeure Foot 03(home) | 0-2 | National 2 - Group D |
| Sep 19, 2020 | Canet Roussillon(away) | 1-0 | National 2 - Group D |
| Sep 12, 2020 | Mont-de-Marsan(away) | 4-0 | National 2 - Group D |
How many goals should we expect?
Chateauroux score 1.2 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Bourges Foot score 1.3 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chateauroux | 1.2 | 1.8 | 1 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Bourges Foot | 1.3 | 0.9 | 6 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Chateauroux | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Chateauroux vs Bourges Foot?
- The Footlab model makes Chateauroux the favourite at 45%, against 27% for a draw and 28% for Bourges Foot.
- Where and when is Chateauroux vs Bourges Foot played?
- Chateauroux vs Bourges Foot is played on December 5, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Gaston Petit, in the National 2 - Group C.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.