Troyes II vs Lyon Duchere: prediction and stats
National 2 - Group CGroup C - 11Kick-off on December 5, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Complexe Sportif de l'Aube N° 2 - Terrain du Bas, Rosières-près-Troyes
The Footlab model makes Troyes II the favourite at 46%, against 27% for a draw and 27% for Lyon Duchere. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Troyes II vs Lyon Duchere?
A very open match: only 26 Elo points separate Troyes II (1,776) and Lyon Duchere (1,751).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Troyes II have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Lyon Duchere have 9, 1 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Istres(home) | 0-0 | National 2 - Group C |
| May 16, 2026 | Besançon(away) | 3-2 | National 3 - Group F |
| May 9, 2026 | Mulhouse(home) | 5-0 | National 3 - Group F |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Torcy(away) | 1-2 | National 3 - Group F |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Thonon Évian(home) | 2-2 | National 3 - Group F |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Rumilly Vallières(home) | 1-7 | National 2 - Group C |
| May 16, 2026 | Montpellier II(home) | 3-0 | National 3 - Group H |
| May 9, 2026 | Olympique Lyonnais II(away) | 4-2 | National 3 - Group H |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Fos(home) | 2-3 | National 3 - Group H |
| Apr 18, 2026 | ASPTT Dijon(away) | 4-2 | National 3 - Group H |
How many goals should we expect?
Troyes II score 2.1 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Lyon Duchere score 2.2 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Troyes II | 2.1 | 1.2 | 4 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Lyon Duchere | 2.2 | 1.7 | 4 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Troyes II sit 12th in National 2 - Group C (1 points from 1 matches) and Lyon Duchere sit 17th (0 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Troyes II | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 17 | Lyon Duchere | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Troyes II vs Lyon Duchere?
- The Footlab model makes Troyes II the favourite at 46%, against 27% for a draw and 27% for Lyon Duchere.
- Where and when is Troyes II vs Lyon Duchere played?
- Troyes II vs Lyon Duchere is played on December 5, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Complexe Sportif de l'Aube N° 2 - Terrain du Bas, in the National 2 - Group C.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.