Hauts Lyonnais vs Fréjus St-Raphaël: prediction and stats
National 2 - Group CGroup C - 11Kick-off on December 5, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stade Thomas Granjon, Saint-Symphorien-sur-Coise
The Footlab model makes Hauts Lyonnais the favourite at 54%, against 25% for a draw and 21% for Fréjus St-Raphaël. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hauts Lyonnais vs Fréjus St-Raphaël?
A very open match: only 99 Elo points separate Hauts Lyonnais (1,810) and Fréjus St-Raphaël (1,711).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hauts Lyonnais have 11 wins, 4 draws and 0 defeats; Fréjus St-Raphaël have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Chateauroux(home) | 0-0 | National 2 - Group C |
| May 16, 2026 | Auxerre II(home) | 1-0 | National 3 - Group G |
| May 9, 2026 | Orléans II(away) | 3-0 | National 3 - Group G |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Saint-Étienne II(home) | 4-1 | National 3 - Group G |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Union Cosnoise(away) | 2-0 | National 3 - Group G |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Saint-Priest(home) | 3-0 | National 2 - Group C |
| May 16, 2026 | Grasse(home) | 1-0 | National 2 - Group C |
| May 9, 2026 | Bobigny(away) | 0-1 | National 2 - Group C |
| May 2, 2026 | Toulon(home) | 0-1 | National 2 - Group C |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Saint-Priest(home) | 0-0 | National 2 - Group C |
How many goals should we expect?
Hauts Lyonnais score 1.8 and concede 0.4 goals per match over their last 15; Fréjus St-Raphaël score 1.1 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hauts Lyonnais | 1.8 | 0.4 | 11 | 4/15 | 5/15 |
| Fréjus St-Raphaël | 1.1 | 1.4 | 4 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Hauts Lyonnais sit 13th in National 2 - Group C (1 points from 1 matches) and Fréjus St-Raphaël sit 2nd (3 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Fréjus St-Raphaël | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 13 | Hauts Lyonnais | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hauts Lyonnais vs Fréjus St-Raphaël?
- The Footlab model makes Hauts Lyonnais the favourite at 54%, against 25% for a draw and 21% for Fréjus St-Raphaël.
- Where and when is Hauts Lyonnais vs Fréjus St-Raphaël played?
- Hauts Lyonnais vs Fréjus St-Raphaël is played on December 5, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Thomas Granjon, in the National 2 - Group C.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.