Chateauroux vs Limonest: prediction and stats
National 2 - Group CGroup C - 2Kick-off on August 28, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Stade Gaston Petit, Châteauroux
The Footlab model makes Chateauroux the favourite at 43%, against 27% for a draw and 30% for Limonest. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Chateauroux vs Limonest?
A very open match: only 1 Elo points separate Chateauroux (1,701) and Limonest (1,700).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chateauroux have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Limonest have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Hauts Lyonnais(away) | 0-0 | National 2 - Group C |
| May 15, 2026 | Valenciennes(away) | 2-2 | Ligue 3 |
| May 9, 2026 | Sochaux(home) | 2-1 | Ligue 3 |
| Apr 30, 2026 | Dijon(away) | 2-1 | Ligue 3 |
| Apr 24, 2026 | Fleury 91(home) | 0-2 | Ligue 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Hyères(away) | 2-2 | National 2 - Group C |
| May 16, 2026 | Nimes(home) | 2-3 | National 2 - Group C |
| May 9, 2026 | Creteil(away) | 0-2 | National 2 - Group C |
| May 2, 2026 | Grasse(home) | 1-3 | National 2 - Group C |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Bobigny(away) | 2-1 | National 2 - Group C |
How many goals should we expect?
Chateauroux score 1.2 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Limonest score 1.5 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chateauroux | 1.2 | 1.8 | 1 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Limonest | 1.5 | 1.7 | 3 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Chateauroux sit 10th in National 2 - Group C (1 points from 1 matches) and Limonest sit 5th (1 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Limonest | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 10 | Chateauroux | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Chateauroux vs Limonest?
- The Footlab model makes Chateauroux the favourite at 43%, against 27% for a draw and 30% for Limonest.
- Where and when is Chateauroux vs Limonest played?
- Chateauroux vs Limonest is played on August 28, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Gaston Petit, in the National 2 - Group C.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.