Chasselay MDA vs Canet Roussillon: prediction and stats
National 2 - Group CGroup C - 4Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stade Ludovic Giuly, Chasselay
The Footlab model makes Chasselay MDA the favourite at 47%, against 27% for a draw and 27% for Canet Roussillon. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Chasselay MDA vs Canet Roussillon?
A very open match: only 53 Elo points separate Chasselay MDA (1,746) and Canet Roussillon (1,693).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chasselay MDA have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Canet Roussillon have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Toulon(home) | 1-1 | National 2 - Group C |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Estac Troyes(away) | 2-5 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 16, 2026 | Istres(away) | 2-1 | National 2 - Group C |
| May 9, 2026 | Andrézieux(home) | 0-0 | National 2 - Group C |
| May 1, 2026 | Cannes(away) | 1-2 | National 2 - Group C |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Nimes(home) | 1-3 | National 2 - Group C |
| May 16, 2026 | Bassin d'Arcachon Sud(away) | 1-2 | National 3 - Group A |
| May 9, 2026 | Anglet Genets(home) | 3-1 | National 3 - Group A |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Blagnac(away) | 0-0 | National 3 - Group A |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Lège-Cap-Ferret(home) | 3-0 | National 3 - Group A |
How many goals should we expect?
Chasselay MDA score 1.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Canet Roussillon score 1.7 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chasselay MDA | 1.1 | 1.3 | 3 | 10/15 | 6/15 |
| Canet Roussillon | 1.7 | 0.9 | 8 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Chasselay MDA sit 8th in National 2 - Group C (1 points from 1 matches) and Canet Roussillon sit 15th (0 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Chasselay MDA | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 15 | Canet Roussillon | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Chasselay MDA vs Canet Roussillon?
- The Footlab model makes Chasselay MDA the favourite at 47%, against 27% for a draw and 27% for Canet Roussillon.
- Where and when is Chasselay MDA vs Canet Roussillon played?
- Chasselay MDA vs Canet Roussillon is played on September 12, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Ludovic Giuly, in the National 2 - Group C.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.