Chateauroux vs Troyes II: prediction and stats
National 2 - Group CGroup C - 15Kick-off on January 23, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stade Gaston Petit, Châteauroux
The Footlab AI model makes Troyes II the favourite at 38%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for Chateauroux. The most likely score is 1-1. If Troyes II wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,440 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Chateauroux vs Troyes II?
A very open match: only 75 Elo points separate Chateauroux (1,722) and Troyes II (1,798).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Chateauroux vs Troyes II
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Chateauroux
4-3-3- 12J. Koembo
- 19L. Piquionne
- 27W. Boussaid
- 5P. Wade
- 21Y. Chahid
- 10R. Freitas
- 39M. Beneddine
- 6G. Kelo
- 4D. Diarra
- 28S. Mopila
- 16L. Lavallée
Troyes II
4-3-3- 9E. Misse
- 7W. Pierrilus
- 7A. Diakité
- 8S. Diarra
- 11A. Moembo
- 6A. Diallo
- 10M. Evangelisti
- 3A. Ouzenadji
- 5N. Deheppe
- 2N. Donkor
- 1A. Touré
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 10:51 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chateauroux have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Troyes II have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 2, 2026 | Istres(away) | 0-0 | National 2 - Group C |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Limonest(home) | 0-1 | National 2 - Group C |
| Sep 5, 2026 | UF Touraine(away) | 1-1 | National 2 - Group C |
| Aug 28, 2026 | Hyères(home) | 0-1 | National 2 - Group C |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Hauts Lyonnais(away) | 0-0 | National 2 - Group C |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | Toulon(away) | 0-1 | National 2 - Group C |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Andrézieux(home) | 3-2 | National 2 - Group C |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Nimes(away) | 0-4 | National 2 - Group C |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Saint-Priest(home) | 3-1 | National 2 - Group C |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Rumilly Vallières(away) | 0-3 | National 2 - Group C |
How many goals should we expect?
Chateauroux score 0.9 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Troyes II score 2.0 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chateauroux | 0.9 | 1.5 | 2 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Troyes II | 2.0 | 1.6 | 3 | 9/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Chateauroux sit 15th in National 2 - Group C (3 points from 5 matches) and Troyes II sit 10th (7 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Troyes II | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 7 |
| 15 | Chateauroux | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 3 |
A question about Chateauroux vs Troyes II?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Chateauroux vs Troyes II?
- The Footlab AI model makes Troyes II the favourite at 38%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for Chateauroux.
- Where and when is Chateauroux vs Troyes II played?
- Chateauroux vs Troyes II is played on January 23, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Gaston Petit, in the National 2 - Group C.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.