Match

Nimes vs Bourges Foot: prediction and stats

National 2 - Group CGroup C - 15Kick-off on January 23, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stade des Antonins, Nîmes

NimesBourges Foot

The Footlab model makes Nimes the favourite at 61%, against 23% for a draw and 17% for Bourges Foot. The most likely score is 2-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Nimes vs Bourges Foot?

Nimes starts as the favourite with a 169-point Elo edge (1,842 vs 1,673).

Nimes win61 %
Draw23 %
Bourges Foot win17 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nimes have 9 wins, 1 draws and 5 defeats; Bourges Foot have 6, 4 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Nimes
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Canet Roussillon(away)3-1National 2 - Group C
Jul 30, 2026Marseille(away)1-2Friendlies Clubs
Jul 22, 2026Rodez(away)1-2Friendlies Clubs
Jul 18, 2026Nice(away)0-4Friendlies Clubs
May 16, 2026Limonest(away)3-2National 2 - Group C
Bourges Foot
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Jul 21, 2021Orleans(home)1-1Friendlies Clubs
Oct 10, 2020Trélissac(away)1-1National 2 - Group D
Sep 26, 2020Moulins-Yzeure Foot 03(home)0-2National 2 - Group D
Sep 19, 2020Canet Roussillon(away)1-0National 2 - Group D
Sep 12, 2020Mont-de-Marsan(away)4-0National 2 - Group D

How many goals should we expect?

Nimes score 1.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Bourges Foot score 1.3 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Nimes1.71.368/1511/15
Bourges Foot1.30.966/155/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
3Nimes1100313

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Nimes vs Bourges Foot?
The Footlab model makes Nimes the favourite at 61%, against 23% for a draw and 17% for Bourges Foot.
Where and when is Nimes vs Bourges Foot played?
Nimes vs Bourges Foot is played on January 23, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stade des Antonins, in the National 2 - Group C.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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