Istres vs Lyon Duchere: prediction and stats
National 2 - Group CGroup C - 15Kick-off on January 23, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stade Parsemain, Fos-sur-Mer
The Footlab model makes Istres the favourite at 44%, against 27% for a draw and 29% for Lyon Duchere. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Istres vs Lyon Duchere?
A very open match: only 9 Elo points separate Istres (1,759) and Lyon Duchere (1,751).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Istres have 3 wins, 6 draws and 6 defeats; Lyon Duchere have 9, 1 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Troyes II(away) | 0-0 | National 2 - Group C |
| May 16, 2026 | Chasselay MDA(home) | 1-2 | National 2 - Group C |
| May 9, 2026 | Nimes(away) | 0-3 | National 2 - Group C |
| May 1, 2026 | Creteil(home) | 0-0 | National 2 - Group C |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Grasse(away) | 2-2 | National 2 - Group C |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Rumilly Vallières(home) | 1-7 | National 2 - Group C |
| May 16, 2026 | Montpellier II(home) | 3-0 | National 3 - Group H |
| May 9, 2026 | Olympique Lyonnais II(away) | 4-2 | National 3 - Group H |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Fos(home) | 2-3 | National 3 - Group H |
| Apr 18, 2026 | ASPTT Dijon(away) | 4-2 | National 3 - Group H |
How many goals should we expect?
Istres score 1.0 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Lyon Duchere score 2.2 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Istres | 1.0 | 1.2 | 5 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Lyon Duchere | 2.2 | 1.7 | 4 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Istres sit 11th in National 2 - Group C (1 points from 1 matches) and Lyon Duchere sit 17th (0 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Istres | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 17 | Lyon Duchere | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Istres vs Lyon Duchere?
- The Footlab model makes Istres the favourite at 44%, against 27% for a draw and 29% for Lyon Duchere.
- Where and when is Istres vs Lyon Duchere played?
- Istres vs Lyon Duchere is played on January 23, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Parsemain, in the National 2 - Group C.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.