Match

Istres vs Lyon Duchere: prediction and stats

National 2 - Group CGroup C - 15Kick-off on January 23, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stade Parsemain, Fos-sur-Mer

IstresLyon Duchere

The Footlab AI model makes Istres the favourite at 44%, against 27% for a draw and 29% for Lyon Duchere. The most likely score is 1-1. If Istres wins, the most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Istres vs Lyon Duchere?

A very open match: only 9 Elo points separate Istres (1,740) and Lyon Duchere (1,731).

44%27%29%
Istres winDrawLyon Duchere win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Istres vs Lyon Duchere

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Istres

Not enough data to predict the Istres lineup.

Lyon Duchere

5-4-1
  1. 9S. Bourouis-Belle
  1. 11E. Valey
  2. 7A. Etien
  3. 8Y. Martelat
  4. 10N. Dhib
  1. 6Y. Zouma
  2. 5R. Thunet
  3. 3M. Clavel
  4. 2M. Haon
  5. 4N. Ighbane
  1. 1E. Vita

Computed on October 14, 2026 at 07:09 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Istres have 2 wins, 8 draws and 5 defeats; Lyon Duchere have 7, 1 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Istres
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 2, 2026Chateauroux(home)0-0National 2 - Group C
Sep 19, 2026Limonest(away)1-1National 2 - Group C
Sep 12, 2026UF Touraine(home)0-0National 2 - Group C
Sep 5, 2026Hyères(away)0-3National 2 - Group C
Aug 29, 2026Hauts Lyonnais(home)1-2National 2 - Group C
Lyon Duchere
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 3, 2026Chasselay MDA(away)0-2National 2 - Group C
Sep 19, 2026Toulon(home)3-1National 2 - Group C
Sep 12, 2026Andrézieux(away)1-3National 2 - Group C
Sep 5, 2026Nimes(home)0-1National 2 - Group C
Aug 29, 2026Saint-Priest(away)1-2National 2 - Group C

How many goals should we expect?

Istres score 0.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Lyon Duchere score 2.0 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Istres0.91.166/157/15
Lyon Duchere2.01.739/1511/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Istres sit 14th in National 2 - Group C (4 points from 6 matches) and Lyon Duchere sit 16th (3 points from 6 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
14Istres6042264
16Lyon Duchere61056163

A question about Istres vs Lyon Duchere?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Istres vs Lyon Duchere?
The Footlab AI model makes Istres the favourite at 44%, against 27% for a draw and 29% for Lyon Duchere.
Where and when is Istres vs Lyon Duchere played?
Istres vs Lyon Duchere is played on January 23, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Parsemain, in the National 2 - Group C.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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