Chatham Town vs Aveley: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - IsthmianRegular Season - 42Kick-off on April 17, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Bauvill Stadium, Chatham, Kent
The Footlab model makes Chatham Town the favourite at 43%, against 25% for a draw and 33% for Aveley. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Chatham Town vs Aveley?
A very open match: only 25 Elo points separate Chatham Town (1,940) and Aveley (1,915).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chatham Town have 8 wins, 1 draws and 6 defeats; Aveley have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Whitehawk(away) | 3-0 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Three Bridges(home) | 3-1 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Dulwich Hamlet(home) | 3-1 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 8, 2026 | St Albans City(away) | 1-3 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Maidstone Utd(home) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Three Bridges(away) | 5-1 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Whitehawk(home) | 3-2 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Maldon & Tiptree(away) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Eastbourne Borough(home) | 2-2 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Southend(away) | 0-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Chatham Town win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Aveley win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2026 | Chatham Town 0-1 Aveley | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 23, 2025 | Aveley 0-2 Chatham Town | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
Last archived meeting: Chatham Town vs Aveley on Apr 4, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Chatham Town score 2.1 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Aveley score 2.4 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chatham Town | 2.1 | 1.2 | 6 | 7/15 | 12/15 |
| Aveley | 2.4 | 1.7 | 3 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Chatham Town sit 4th in Non League Premier - Isthmian (9 points from 4 matches) and Aveley sit 6th (7 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Chatham Town | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 5 | 9 |
| 6 | Aveley | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 6 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Chatham Town vs Aveley?
- The Footlab model makes Chatham Town the favourite at 43%, against 25% for a draw and 33% for Aveley.
- Where and when is Chatham Town vs Aveley played?
- Chatham Town vs Aveley is played on April 17, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Bauvill Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Isthmian.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Apr 17, 2027DartfordvsWhyteleafe
- Apr 17, 2027LeatherheadvsBrentwood Town
- Apr 17, 2027Eastbourne BoroughvsSt Albans City
- Apr 17, 2027WhitehawkvsCheshunt
- Apr 17, 2027Burgess Hill TownvsWelling United
- Apr 17, 2027Maldon & TiptreevsLewes
- Apr 17, 2027Carshalton AthleticvsDulwich Hamlet
- Apr 17, 2027Cray WanderersvsRamsgate