Aveley vs Chatham Town: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - IsthmianRegular Season - 13Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Parkside Stadium, Aveley, Essex
The Footlab model makes Chatham Town the favourite at 44%, against 24% for a draw and 32% for Aveley. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Aveley vs Chatham Town?
A very open match: only 25 Elo points separate Aveley (1,878) and Chatham Town (1,903).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Aveley have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Chatham Town have 8, 1 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Three Bridges(away) | 5-1 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Whitehawk(home) | 3-2 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Maldon & Tiptree(away) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Eastbourne Borough(home) | 2-2 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Southend(away) | 0-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Whitehawk(away) | 3-0 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Three Bridges(home) | 3-1 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Dulwich Hamlet(home) | 3-1 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 8, 2026 | St Albans City(away) | 1-3 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Maidstone Utd(home) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Aveley win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Chatham Town win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2026 | Chatham Town 0-1 Aveley | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 23, 2025 | Aveley 0-2 Chatham Town | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
Last archived meeting: Chatham Town vs Aveley on Apr 4, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Aveley score 2.4 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Chatham Town score 2.1 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aveley | 2.4 | 1.7 | 3 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| Chatham Town | 2.1 | 1.2 | 6 | 7/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Aveley sit 6th in Non League Premier - Isthmian (7 points from 4 matches) and Chatham Town sit 4th (9 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Chatham Town | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 5 | 9 |
| 6 | Aveley | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 6 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Aveley vs Chatham Town?
- The Footlab model makes Chatham Town the favourite at 44%, against 24% for a draw and 32% for Aveley.
- Where and when is Aveley vs Chatham Town played?
- Aveley vs Chatham Town is played on October 17, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Parkside Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Isthmian.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 17, 2026St Albans CityvsEastbourne Borough
- Oct 17, 2026Brentwood TownvsLeatherhead
- Oct 17, 2026WhyteleafevsDartford
- Oct 17, 2026RamsgatevsCray Wanderers
- Oct 17, 2026Three BridgesvsEnfield Town
- Oct 17, 2026CheshuntvsWhitehawk
- Oct 17, 2026LewesvsMaldon & Tiptree
- Oct 17, 2026Wingate & FinchleyvsStanway Rovers