Aveley vs Chatham Town: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - IsthmianRegular Season - 13Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Parkside Stadium, Aveley, Essex
The Footlab AI model makes Chatham Town the favourite at 49%, against 23% for a draw and 28% for Aveley. The most likely score is 1-1. If Chatham Town wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,440 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Aveley vs Chatham Town?
A very open match: only 78 Elo points separate Aveley (1,846) and Chatham Town (1,923).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Aveley vs Chatham Town
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Aveley
Not enough data to predict the Aveley lineup.
Chatham Town
Not enough data to predict the Chatham Town lineup.
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 12:58 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Aveley have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Chatham Town have 8, 0 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Burgess Hill Town(away) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Cheshunt(away) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Sep 29, 2026 | Dulwich Hamlet(away) | 0-2 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Ware(home) | 3-1 | FA Trophy |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Brentwood Town(home) | 2-3 | FA Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Brentwood Town(home) | 3-0 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Leatherhead(home) | 3-0 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Dorking Wanderers(away) | 0-1 | FA Cup |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Berkhamsted(away) | 1-3 | FA Trophy |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Slough Town(away) | 1-0 | FA Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Aveley win, 0 draws, 1 Chatham Town win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2026 | Chatham Town 0-1 Aveley | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 23, 2025 | Aveley 0-2 Chatham Town | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
Last archived meeting: Chatham Town vs Aveley on Apr 4, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Aveley score 1.8 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Chatham Town score 1.9 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aveley | 1.8 | 1.9 | 1 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Chatham Town | 1.9 | 1.3 | 5 | 7/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Aveley sit 17th in Non League Premier - Isthmian (11 points from 11 matches) and Chatham Town sit 8th (18 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Chatham Town | 10 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 22 | 13 | 18 |
| 17 | Aveley | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 18 | 19 | 11 |
A question about Aveley vs Chatham Town?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Aveley vs Chatham Town?
- The Footlab AI model makes Chatham Town the favourite at 49%, against 23% for a draw and 28% for Aveley.
- Where and when is Aveley vs Chatham Town played?
- Aveley vs Chatham Town is played on October 17, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Parkside Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Isthmian.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
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