Match

Chatham Town vs Wingate & Finchley: prediction and stats

Non League Premier - IsthmianRegular Season - 5Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Bauvill Stadium, Chatham, Kent

Chatham TownWingate & Finchley

The Footlab model makes Chatham Town the favourite at 68%, against 19% for a draw and 13% for Wingate & Finchley. The most likely score is 2-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Chatham Town vs Wingate & Finchley?

Chatham Town starts as the favourite with a 183-point Elo edge (1,940 vs 1,757).

Chatham Town win68 %
Draw19 %
Wingate & Finchley win13 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chatham Town have 8 wins, 1 draws and 6 defeats; Wingate & Finchley have 4, 5 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Chatham Town
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Whitehawk(away)3-0Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 15, 2026Three Bridges(home)3-1Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 11, 2026Dulwich Hamlet(home)3-1Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 8, 2026St Albans City(away)1-3Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 1, 2026Maidstone Utd(home)0-3Friendlies Clubs
Wingate & Finchley
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Dulwich Hamlet(home)1-0Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 15, 2026Whyteleafe(away)2-2Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 10, 2026Carshalton Athletic(away)0-2Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 8, 2026Cray Wanderers(home)1-1Non League Premier - Isthmian
Apr 25, 2026Aveley(home)0-2Non League Premier - Isthmian

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Chatham Town win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Wingate & Finchley win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 11, 2026Chatham Town 4-0 Wingate & FinchleyNon League Premier - Isthmian
Sep 6, 2025Wingate & Finchley 0-3 Chatham TownNon League Premier - Isthmian
Jan 11, 2025Chatham Town 3-1 Wingate & FinchleyNon League Premier - Isthmian
Nov 19, 2024Wingate & Finchley 1-1 Chatham TownNon League Premier - Isthmian
Oct 5, 2024Chatham Town 1-0 Wingate & FinchleyFA Trophy
Feb 6, 2024Wingate & Finchley 4-2 Chatham TownNon League Premier - Isthmian

Last archived meeting: Chatham Town vs Wingate & Finchley on Apr 11, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Chatham Town score 2.1 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Wingate & Finchley score 1.1 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Chatham Town2.11.267/1512/15
Wingate & Finchley1.11.539/156/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Chatham Town sit 4th in Non League Premier - Isthmian (9 points from 4 matches) and Wingate & Finchley sit 16th (5 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
4Chatham Town43011059
16Wingate & Finchley4121455

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Chatham Town vs Wingate & Finchley?
The Footlab model makes Chatham Town the favourite at 68%, against 19% for a draw and 13% for Wingate & Finchley.
Where and when is Chatham Town vs Wingate & Finchley played?
Chatham Town vs Wingate & Finchley is played on August 29, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Bauvill Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Isthmian.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Chatham Town and Wingate & Finchley

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