Chatham Town vs St Albans City: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - IsthmianRegular Season - 15Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Bauvill Stadium, Chatham, Kent
The Footlab model makes Chatham Town the favourite at 64%, against 20% for a draw and 16% for St Albans City. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Chatham Town vs St Albans City?
Chatham Town starts as the favourite with a 146-point Elo edge (1,908 vs 1,762).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chatham Town have 8 wins, 1 draws and 6 defeats; St Albans City have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Whitehawk(away) | 3-0 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Three Bridges(home) | 3-1 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Dulwich Hamlet(home) | 3-1 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 8, 2026 | St Albans City(away) | 1-3 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Maidstone Utd(home) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Ramsgate(away) | 0-4 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Lewes(home) | 0-2 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Enfield Town(away) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Chatham Town(home) | 3-1 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Hemel Hempstead Town(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 0 Chatham Town win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 St Albans City win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | St Albans City 3-1 Chatham Town | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Nov 29, 2025 | Chatham Town 1-4 St Albans City | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 9, 2025 | St Albans City 0-0 Chatham Town | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Oct 26, 2013 | Chatham Town 0-2 St Albans City | FA Cup |
Last archived meeting: St Albans City vs Chatham Town on Aug 8, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Chatham Town score 2.1 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; St Albans City score 1.3 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chatham Town | 2.1 | 1.2 | 6 | 7/15 | 12/15 |
| St Albans City | 1.3 | 1.5 | 2 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Chatham Town sit 4th in Non League Premier - Isthmian (9 points from 4 matches) and St Albans City sit 13th (6 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Chatham Town | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 5 | 9 |
| 13 | St Albans City | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Chatham Town vs St Albans City?
- The Footlab model makes Chatham Town the favourite at 64%, against 20% for a draw and 16% for St Albans City.
- Where and when is Chatham Town vs St Albans City played?
- Chatham Town vs St Albans City is played on October 24, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Bauvill Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Isthmian.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 24, 2026DartfordvsThree Bridges
- Oct 24, 2026LeatherheadvsRamsgate
- Oct 24, 2026Eastbourne BoroughvsAveley
- Oct 24, 2026WhitehawkvsWelling United
- Oct 24, 2026Burgess Hill TownvsBrentwood Town
- Oct 24, 2026Maldon & TiptreevsDulwich Hamlet
- Oct 24, 2026Carshalton AthleticvsWhyteleafe
- Oct 24, 2026Cray WanderersvsWingate & Finchley