Chattanooga Red Wolves vs Portland Hearts of Pine: prediction and stats
USL League OneGroup StageKick-off on September 19, 2026 at 11:00 PM (UTC)CHI Memorial Stadium, East Ridge, Tennessee
The Footlab model makes Chattanooga Red Wolves the favourite at 58%, against 22% for a draw and 20% for Portland Hearts of Pine. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Chattanooga Red Wolves vs Portland Hearts of Pine?
A very open match: only 48 Elo points separate Chattanooga Red Wolves (1,691) and Portland Hearts of Pine (1,643).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chattanooga Red Wolves have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Portland Hearts of Pine have 2, 5 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | NY Cosmos(home) | 3-3 | USL League One |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Sarasota Paradise(away) | 2-3 | USL League One |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Fort Wayne(away) | 2-1 | USL League One |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Union Omaha(home) | 1-3 | USL League One |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Forward Madison(away) | 2-5 | USL League One |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Richmond Kickers(away) | 1-1 | USL League One |
| Aug 19, 2026 | One Knoxville(away) | 1-1 | USL League One |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Forward Madison(home) | 1-2 | USL League One |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Corpus Christi(home) | 0-2 | USL League One |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Greenville Triumph(away) | 3-3 | USL League One |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Chattanooga Red Wolves win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Portland Hearts of Pine win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 13, 2026 | Portland Hearts of Pine 1-2 Chattanooga Red Wolves | USL League One |
| Nov 1, 2025 | Chattanooga Red Wolves 0-1 Portland Hearts of Pine | USL League One |
| Sep 13, 2025 | Portland Hearts of Pine 1-1 Chattanooga Red Wolves | USL League One |
| Jun 7, 2025 | Chattanooga Red Wolves 2-1 Portland Hearts of Pine | USL League One |
Last archived meeting: Portland Hearts of Pine vs Chattanooga Red Wolves on Jun 13, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Chattanooga Red Wolves score 1.7 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Portland Hearts of Pine score 1.6 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chattanooga Red Wolves | 1.7 | 1.7 | 4 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Portland Hearts of Pine | 1.6 | 2.3 | 0 | 14/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Chattanooga Red Wolves sit 7th in USL League One (32 points from 20 matches) and Portland Hearts of Pine sit 13th (23 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Chattanooga Red Wolves | 20 | 10 | 2 | 8 | 38 | 32 | 32 |
| 13 | Portland Hearts of Pine | 22 | 5 | 8 | 9 | 32 | 37 | 23 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Chattanooga Red Wolves vs Portland Hearts of Pine?
- The Footlab model makes Chattanooga Red Wolves the favourite at 58%, against 22% for a draw and 20% for Portland Hearts of Pine.
- Where and when is Chattanooga Red Wolves vs Portland Hearts of Pine played?
- Chattanooga Red Wolves vs Portland Hearts of Pine is played on September 19, 2026 at 11:00 PM (UTC) at CHI Memorial Stadium, in the USL League One.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 8, 2026Westchester SC2-3One Knoxville
- Mar 8, 2026Naples2-0Fort Wayne
- Mar 8, 2026Sarasota Paradise0-1Boise
- Mar 8, 2026Alta1-1Richmond Kickers
- Mar 8, 2026TormentavsSpokane Velocity
- Mar 14, 2026NY Cosmos1-3Portland Hearts of Pine
- Mar 14, 2026TormentavsAlta
- Mar 14, 2026Greenville Triumph1-2Chattanooga Red Wolves