Match

Chattanooga Red Wolves vs Portland Hearts of Pine: prediction and stats

USL League OneGroup StageKick-off on September 19, 2026 at 11:00 PM (UTC)CHI Memorial Stadium, East Ridge, Tennessee

Chattanooga Red WolvesPortland Hearts of Pine

The Footlab model makes Chattanooga Red Wolves the favourite at 58%, against 22% for a draw and 20% for Portland Hearts of Pine. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Chattanooga Red Wolves vs Portland Hearts of Pine?

A very open match: only 48 Elo points separate Chattanooga Red Wolves (1,691) and Portland Hearts of Pine (1,643).

Chattanooga Red Wolves win58 %
Draw22 %
Portland Hearts of Pine win20 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chattanooga Red Wolves have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Portland Hearts of Pine have 2, 5 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Chattanooga Red Wolves
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026NY Cosmos(home)3-3USL League One
Aug 19, 2026Sarasota Paradise(away)2-3USL League One
Aug 15, 2026Fort Wayne(away)2-1USL League One
Aug 8, 2026Union Omaha(home)1-3USL League One
Jul 30, 2026Forward Madison(away)2-5USL League One
Portland Hearts of Pine
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Richmond Kickers(away)1-1USL League One
Aug 19, 2026One Knoxville(away)1-1USL League One
Aug 16, 2026Forward Madison(home)1-2USL League One
Aug 8, 2026Corpus Christi(home)0-2USL League One
Aug 1, 2026Greenville Triumph(away)3-3USL League One

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Chattanooga Red Wolves win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Portland Hearts of Pine win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Jun 13, 2026Portland Hearts of Pine 1-2 Chattanooga Red WolvesUSL League One
Nov 1, 2025Chattanooga Red Wolves 0-1 Portland Hearts of PineUSL League One
Sep 13, 2025Portland Hearts of Pine 1-1 Chattanooga Red WolvesUSL League One
Jun 7, 2025Chattanooga Red Wolves 2-1 Portland Hearts of PineUSL League One

Last archived meeting: Portland Hearts of Pine vs Chattanooga Red Wolves on Jun 13, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Chattanooga Red Wolves score 1.7 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Portland Hearts of Pine score 1.6 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Chattanooga Red Wolves1.71.7410/159/15
Portland Hearts of Pine1.62.3014/1511/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Chattanooga Red Wolves sit 7th in USL League One (32 points from 20 matches) and Portland Hearts of Pine sit 13th (23 points from 22 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
7Chattanooga Red Wolves201028383232
13Portland Hearts of Pine22589323723

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Chattanooga Red Wolves vs Portland Hearts of Pine?
The Footlab model makes Chattanooga Red Wolves the favourite at 58%, against 22% for a draw and 20% for Portland Hearts of Pine.
Where and when is Chattanooga Red Wolves vs Portland Hearts of Pine played?
Chattanooga Red Wolves vs Portland Hearts of Pine is played on September 19, 2026 at 11:00 PM (UTC) at CHI Memorial Stadium, in the USL League One.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Chattanooga Red Wolves and Portland Hearts of Pine

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