Chaves vs Penafiel: result 0-1 and analysis
Segunda LigaRegular Season - 17Kick-off on January 4, 2025 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Municipal Eng. Manuel Branco Teixeira, Chaves
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What was the result of Chaves vs Penafiel?
Penafiel won 0-1 on January 4, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 30′Zé LeitePenafiel
Official lineup for Chaves vs Penafiel
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Chaves
4-2-3-1- 99Jô
- 88Rúben Pina
- 20André Ricardo
- 10Leandro Sanca
- 14R. Wilson
- 11Pedro Pelágio
- 5Aarón Romero
- 40J. Pius
- 4Bruno Rodrigues
- 15Carraça
- 1Vózinha
Penafiel
4-3-3- 77S. Fatai
- 17Gabriel Barbosa
- 34Zé Leite
- 21Diogo Batista
- 88Ewerton
- 20Tiago Rodrigues
- 15João Silva
- 44Rúben Pereira
- 4João Miguel
- 68Maga
- 31Manuel Baldé
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chaves have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Penafiel have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2024 | Tondela(home) | 2-2 | Segunda Liga |
| Dec 14, 2024 | Alverca(away) | 1-3 | Segunda Liga |
| Dec 8, 2024 | FC Porto B(home) | 2-1 | Segunda Liga |
| Nov 30, 2024 | Portimonense(away) | 2-1 | Segunda Liga |
| Nov 23, 2024 | Casa Pia(away) | 0-3 | Taça de Portugal |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 29, 2024 | Benfica B(home) | 1-1 | Segunda Liga |
| Dec 22, 2024 | Torreense(away) | 1-0 | Segunda Liga |
| Dec 14, 2024 | Leixoes(home) | 3-1 | Segunda Liga |
| Dec 7, 2024 | Feirense(away) | 0-3 | Segunda Liga |
| Dec 1, 2024 | Mafra(home) | 1-1 | Segunda Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Chaves wins, 1 draw, 2 Penafiel wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 18, 2023 | Penafiel 1-2 Chaves | Friendlies Clubs |
| Mar 6, 2022 | Penafiel 2-1 Chaves | Segunda Liga |
| Oct 10, 2021 | Chaves 3-1 Penafiel | Segunda Liga |
| Mar 29, 2021 | Chaves 2-1 Penafiel | Segunda Liga |
| Nov 9, 2020 | Penafiel 1-0 Chaves | Segunda Liga |
| Feb 17, 2020 | Penafiel 0-0 Chaves | Segunda Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Chaves score 1.4 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Penafiel score 1.7 and concede 1.2.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chaves | 1.4 | 1.1 | 5 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
| Penafiel | 1.7 | 1.2 | 3 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Chaves sit 17th in Segunda Liga (5 points from 7 matches) and Penafiel sit 4th (13 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Penafiel | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 7 | 13 |
| 17 | Chaves | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 5 |
A question about Chaves vs Penafiel?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy