Chelsea vs Liverpool: result 2-1 and analysis
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 7Kick-off on October 4, 2025 at 04:30 PM (UTC)Stamford Bridge, London
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What was the result of Chelsea vs Liverpool?
Chelsea won 2-1 on October 4, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 14′M. CaicedoChelsea
- 63′C. GakpoLiverpool
- 90′EstêvãoChelsea
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chelsea have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Liverpool have 10, 2 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 30, 2025 | Benfica(home) | 1-0 | UEFA Champions League |
| Sep 27, 2025 | Brighton(home) | 1-3 | Premier League |
| Sep 23, 2025 | Lincoln(away) | 2-1 | League Cup |
| Sep 20, 2025 | Manchester United(away) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Sep 17, 2025 | Bayern München(away) | 1-3 | UEFA Champions League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 30, 2025 | Galatasaray(away) | 0-1 | UEFA Champions League |
| Sep 27, 2025 | Crystal Palace(away) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Sep 23, 2025 | Southampton(home) | 2-1 | League Cup |
| Sep 20, 2025 | Everton(home) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 17, 2025 | Atletico Madrid(home) | 3-2 | UEFA Champions League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Chelsea win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Liverpool win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 4, 2025 | Chelsea 3-1 Liverpool | Premier League |
| Oct 20, 2024 | Liverpool 2-1 Chelsea | Premier League |
| Feb 25, 2024 | Chelsea 0-1 Liverpool | League Cup |
| Jan 31, 2024 | Liverpool 4-1 Chelsea | Premier League |
| Aug 13, 2023 | Chelsea 1-1 Liverpool | Premier League |
| Apr 4, 2023 | Chelsea 0-0 Liverpool | Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
Chelsea score 1.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Liverpool score 2.1 and concede 1.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chelsea | 1.9 | 1.1 | 6 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Liverpool | 2.1 | 1.5 | 2 | 12/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Chelsea sit 10th in Premier League (52 points from 38 matches) and Liverpool sit 5th (60 points from 38 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Liverpool | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 63 | 53 | 60 |
| 10 | Chelsea | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 58 | 52 | 52 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy