Aston Villa vs Burnley: result 2-1 and analysis
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 7Kick-off on October 5, 2025 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Villa Park, Birmingham
Full time
What was the result of Aston Villa vs Burnley?
Aston Villa won 2-1 on October 5, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 25′D. MalenAston Villa
- 63′D. MalenAston Villa
- 78′L. UgochukwuBurnley
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Aston Villa have 6 wins, 6 draws and 3 defeats; Burnley have 7, 1 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 2, 2025 | Feyenoord(away) | 2-0 | UEFA Europa League |
| Sep 28, 2025 | Fulham(home) | 3-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 25, 2025 | Bologna(home) | 1-0 | UEFA Europa League |
| Sep 21, 2025 | Sunderland(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 16, 2025 | Brentford(away) | 1-1 | League Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 27, 2025 | Manchester City(away) | 1-5 | Premier League |
| Sep 23, 2025 | Cardiff(home) | 1-2 | League Cup |
| Sep 20, 2025 | Nottingham Forest(home) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 14, 2025 | Liverpool(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Aug 30, 2025 | Manchester United(away) | 2-3 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Aston Villa win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Burnley win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 30, 2023 | Aston Villa 3-2 Burnley | Premier League |
| Aug 27, 2023 | Burnley 1-3 Aston Villa | Premier League |
| May 19, 2022 | Aston Villa 1-1 Burnley | Premier League |
| May 7, 2022 | Burnley 1-3 Aston Villa | Premier League |
| Jan 27, 2021 | Burnley 3-2 Aston Villa | Premier League |
| Dec 17, 2020 | Aston Villa 0-0 Burnley | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Aston Villa vs Burnley on Dec 30, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
Aston Villa score 1.4 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Burnley score 1.5 and concede 1.4.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aston Villa | 1.4 | 1.0 | 6 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Burnley | 1.5 | 1.4 | 3 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Aston Villa sit 4th in Premier League (65 points from 38 matches) and Burnley sit 19th (22 points from 38 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Aston Villa | 38 | 19 | 8 | 11 | 56 | 49 | 65 |
| 19 | Burnley | 38 | 4 | 10 | 24 | 38 | 75 | 22 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy