Eastleigh vs Swindon Town: result 1-1 and analysis
FA Cup1st RoundKick-off on November 4, 2016 at 07:55 PM (UTC)Silverlake Stadium, Eastleigh, Hampshire
Full time
What was the result of Eastleigh vs Swindon Town?
Eastleigh and Swindon Town drew 1-1 on November 4, 2016.
Goalscorers
- 64′M. MandronEastleigh
- 69′M. DoughtySwindon Town (pen.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Eastleigh have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Swindon Town have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 29, 2016 | Barrow(away) | 0-4 | National League |
| Oct 25, 2016 | Torquay(home) | 3-0 | National League |
| Oct 22, 2016 | Lincoln(away) | 0-0 | National League |
| Oct 8, 2016 | Dagenham & Redbridge(home) | 0-1 | National League |
| Oct 4, 2016 | Maidstone Utd(home) | 3-0 | National League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 29, 2016 | Scunthorpe(away) | 1-4 | League One |
| Oct 22, 2016 | Walsall(home) | 0-2 | League One |
| Oct 18, 2016 | Rochdale(home) | 3-0 | League One |
| Oct 15, 2016 | AFC Wimbledon(away) | 0-0 | League One |
| Oct 8, 2016 | Bolton(home) | 0-1 | League One |
How many goals should we expect?
Eastleigh score 1.7 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Swindon Town score 1.0 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eastleigh | 1.7 | 1.0 | 8 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
| Swindon Town | 1.0 | 1.3 | 5 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy