Cheltenham vs Derby: result 1-1 and analysis
League OneRegular Season - 12Kick-off on October 7, 2023 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Completely-Suzuki Stadium, Cheltenham, Gloucestershire
Full time
What was the result of Cheltenham vs Derby?
Cheltenham and Derby drew 1-1 on October 7, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 39′R. StreetCheltenham
- 45′C. NelsonDerby
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cheltenham have 0 wins, 3 draws and 12 defeats; Derby have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2023 | Fleetwood Town(home) | 0-2 | League One |
| Sep 30, 2023 | Lincoln(away) | 0-2 | League One |
| Sep 23, 2023 | Stevenage(home) | 0-3 | League One |
| Sep 19, 2023 | Peterborough(away) | 0-3 | League One |
| Sep 16, 2023 | Exeter City(away) | 0-1 | League One |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2023 | Blackpool(away) | 3-1 | League One |
| Sep 30, 2023 | Cambridge United(home) | 0-0 | League One |
| Sep 23, 2023 | Carlisle(away) | 2-0 | League One |
| Sep 19, 2023 | Lincoln(home) | 2-0 | EFL Trophy |
| Sep 16, 2023 | Portsmouth(home) | 1-1 | League One |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Cheltenham win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Derby win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2023 | Derby 2-0 Cheltenham | League One |
| Jan 14, 2023 | Cheltenham 2-3 Derby | League One |
How many goals should we expect?
Cheltenham score 0.2 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Derby score 1.6 and concede 1.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cheltenham | 0.2 | 1.8 | 1 | 3/15 | 4/15 |
| Derby | 1.6 | 1.0 | 7 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy