Cheltenham vs Derby: result 2-3 and analysis
League OneRegular Season - 27Kick-off on January 14, 2023 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Completely-Suzuki Stadium, Cheltenham, Gloucestershire
Full time
What was the result of Cheltenham vs Derby?
Derby won 2-3 on January 14, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 2′C. TaylorCheltenham
- 8′C. HourihaneDerby
- 11′M. BirdDerby
- 55′T. BarkhuizenDerby
- 77′A. MayCheltenham
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cheltenham have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Derby have 8, 7 and 0.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 10, 2023 | Salford City(home) | 3-1 | EFL Trophy |
| Jan 7, 2023 | Morecambe(away) | 1-2 | League One |
| Jan 1, 2023 | Bristol Rovers(away) | 1-2 | League One |
| Dec 29, 2022 | Shrewsbury(away) | 1-0 | League One |
| Dec 26, 2022 | Plymouth(home) | 0-1 | League One |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 8, 2023 | Barnsley(home) | 3-0 | FA Cup |
| Jan 2, 2023 | Accrington ST(home) | 4-0 | League One |
| Dec 30, 2022 | Cambridge United(home) | 1-0 | League One |
| Dec 27, 2022 | Bolton(away) | 0-0 | League One |
| Dec 17, 2022 | Forest Green(home) | 4-0 | League One |
How many goals should we expect?
Cheltenham score 1.1 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Derby score 2.0 and concede 0.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cheltenham | 1.1 | 0.8 | 6 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| Derby | 2.0 | 0.5 | 9 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy