Chelyabinsk vs Arsenal Tula: prediction and stats
First LeagueRegular Season - 27Kick-off on April 14, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Central'nyj, Chelyabinsk
The Footlab AI model makes Chelyabinsk the favourite at 48%, against 26% for a draw and 26% for Arsenal Tula. The most likely score is 1-1. If Chelyabinsk wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 4,566 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 5, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Chelyabinsk vs Arsenal Tula?
A very open match: only 39 Elo points separate Chelyabinsk (1,759) and Arsenal Tula (1,720).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Chelyabinsk vs Arsenal Tula
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Chelyabinsk
3-4-1-2- 10R. Gadzhimuradov
- 70G. Levin
- 29M. Urvantsev
- 6S. Makarov
- 55G. Borisov
- 18K. Kertanov
- 11G. Miroshnichenko
- 50V. Lystsov
- 5B. Gatin
- 15K. Kochiev
- 1I. Lomaev
Arsenal Tula
5-3-2- 11R. Magomedov
- 8D. Shamkin
- 77D. Plotnikov
- 14M. Brnović
- 25A. Biryukov
- 4D. Penchikov
- 24K. Gotsuk
- 82A. Alekhin
- 45N. Karmaev
- 44O. Isaenko
- 42A. Melikhov
Computed on November 5, 2026 at 07:38 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chelyabinsk have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Arsenal Tula have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Shinnik Yaroslavl(home) | 2-0 | First League |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Ural(home) | 1-3 | First League |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Tekstilshchik(away) | 1-2 | First League |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Spartak Kostroma(away) | 0-1 | Cup |
| Oct 9, 2026 | FK Neftekhimik(away) | 4-2 | First League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2026 | Nizhny Novgorod(away) | 0-4 | First League |
| Oct 24, 2026 | KAMAZ(home) | 4-3 | First League |
| Oct 17, 2026 | FC UFA(away) | 0-2 | First League |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Spartak Kostroma(home) | 3-2 | First League |
| Oct 4, 2026 | CSKA Moscow(away) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Chelyabinsk wins, 3 draws, 0 Arsenal Tula wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 22, 2026 | Arsenal Tula 0-0 Chelyabinsk | First League |
| Oct 19, 2025 | Chelyabinsk 2-2 Arsenal Tula | First League |
| Feb 15, 2025 | Arsenal Tula 0-0 Chelyabinsk | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Arsenal Tula vs Chelyabinsk on Apr 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Chelyabinsk score 1.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Arsenal Tula score 1.2 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chelyabinsk | 1.3 | 1.5 | 3 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| Arsenal Tula | 1.2 | 2.0 | 2 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Chelyabinsk sit 12th in First League (18 points from 16 matches) and Arsenal Tula sit 11th (19 points from 16 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Arsenal Tula | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 19 | 33 | 19 |
| 12 | Chelyabinsk | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 21 | 26 | 18 |
A question about Chelyabinsk vs Arsenal Tula?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Chelyabinsk vs Arsenal Tula?
- The Footlab AI model makes Chelyabinsk the favourite at 48%, against 26% for a draw and 26% for Arsenal Tula.
- Where and when is Chelyabinsk vs Arsenal Tula played?
- Chelyabinsk vs Arsenal Tula is played on April 14, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Central'nyj, in the First League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.