Chelyabinsk vs Arsenal Tula: prediction and stats
First LeagueRegular Season - 27Kick-off on April 14, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Central'nyj, Chelyabinsk
The Footlab model makes Arsenal Tula the favourite at 38%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for Chelyabinsk. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Chelyabinsk vs Arsenal Tula?
A very open match: only 14 Elo points separate Chelyabinsk (1,767) and Arsenal Tula (1,781).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chelyabinsk have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Arsenal Tula have 3, 7 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Leningradets(away) | 1-1 | First League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Torpedo Moskva(home) | 0-4 | First League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Rotor Volgograd(away) | 1-4 | First League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Volga Ulyanovsk(away) | 2-0 | First League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Nizhny Novgorod(home) | 1-2 | First League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Rotor Volgograd(home) | 2-1 | First League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Leningradets(away) | 0-0 | First League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Shinnik Yaroslavl(away) | 2-2 | First League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Torpedo Moskva(home) | 1-0 | First League |
| Jul 26, 2026 | FC Sochi(away) | 0-5 | First League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Chelyabinsk win(s), 3 draw(s), 0 Arsenal Tula win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 22, 2026 | Arsenal Tula 0-0 Chelyabinsk | First League |
| Oct 19, 2025 | Chelyabinsk 2-2 Arsenal Tula | First League |
| Feb 15, 2025 | Arsenal Tula 0-0 Chelyabinsk | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Arsenal Tula vs Chelyabinsk on Apr 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Chelyabinsk score 1.1 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Arsenal Tula score 0.9 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chelyabinsk | 1.1 | 1.7 | 3 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Arsenal Tula | 0.9 | 1.5 | 3 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Chelyabinsk sit 12th in First League (7 points from 7 matches) and Arsenal Tula sit 9th (11 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Arsenal Tula | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 11 |
| 12 | Chelyabinsk | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 13 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Chelyabinsk vs Arsenal Tula?
- The Footlab model makes Arsenal Tula the favourite at 38%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for Chelyabinsk.
- Where and when is Chelyabinsk vs Arsenal Tula played?
- Chelyabinsk vs Arsenal Tula is played on April 14, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Central'nyj, in the First League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.