Ural vs Rotor Volgograd: prediction and stats
First LeagueRegular Season - 27Kick-off on April 14, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Ekaterinburg Arena, Ekaterinburg
The Footlab model makes Ural the favourite at 54%, against 27% for a draw and 20% for Rotor Volgograd. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ural vs Rotor Volgograd?
A very open match: only 43 Elo points separate Ural (1,898) and Rotor Volgograd (1,855).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ural have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Rotor Volgograd have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Tekstilshchik(home) | 2-0 | First League |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Rotor Volgograd(away) | 1-1 | First League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | FC UFA(home) | 3-0 | First League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Ska-khabarovsk(away) | 3-0 | First League |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Leningradets(away) | 0-0 | First League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Arsenal Tula(away) | 1-2 | First League |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Ural(home) | 1-1 | First League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Chelyabinsk(home) | 4-1 | First League |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Veles(away) | 1-2 | First League |
| Jul 27, 2026 | KAMAZ(away) | 2-0 | First League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Ural win(s), 5 draw(s), 0 Rotor Volgograd win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | Rotor Volgograd 1-1 Ural | First League |
| Mar 9, 2026 | Rotor Volgograd 1-1 Ural | First League |
| Sep 20, 2025 | Ural 0-0 Rotor Volgograd | First League |
| Mar 3, 2025 | Rotor Volgograd 0-0 Ural | First League |
| Sep 7, 2024 | Ural 1-1 Rotor Volgograd | First League |
| Mar 13, 2021 | Ural 1-0 Rotor Volgograd | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Rotor Volgograd vs Ural on Aug 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Ural score 1.5 and concede 0.6 goals per match over their last 15; Rotor Volgograd score 1.5 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ural | 1.5 | 0.6 | 8 | 3/15 | 6/15 |
| Rotor Volgograd | 1.5 | 1.0 | 7 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ural sit 3rd in First League (14 points from 7 matches) and Rotor Volgograd sit 10th (10 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Ural | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 2 | 14 |
| 10 | Rotor Volgograd | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 10 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ural vs Rotor Volgograd?
- The Footlab model makes Ural the favourite at 54%, against 27% for a draw and 20% for Rotor Volgograd.
- Where and when is Ural vs Rotor Volgograd played?
- Ural vs Rotor Volgograd is played on April 14, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Ekaterinburg Arena, in the First League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.