FC UFA vs Shinnik Yaroslavl: prediction and stats
First LeagueRegular Season - 27Kick-off on April 14, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)BetBoom Аrena, Ufa
The Footlab AI model makes FC UFA the favourite at 38%, against 31% for a draw and 31% for Shinnik Yaroslavl. The most likely score is 1-1. If FC UFA wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.8% of the 3,392 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win FC UFA vs Shinnik Yaroslavl?
A very open match: only 64 Elo points separate FC UFA (1,765) and Shinnik Yaroslavl (1,829).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for FC UFA vs Shinnik Yaroslavl
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
FC UFA
3-4-1-2- 88M. Ageyan
- 70D. Ortíz
- 8S. Isaev
- 6Z. Tarba
- 9D. Lipovoy
- 11M. Yakuev
- 23D. Akhatov
- 2V. Cherov
- 43A. Gilyazetdinov
- 5D. Kutin
- 31A. Belenov
Shinnik Yaroslavl
4-4-2- 15D. Samoylov
- 10A. Gongapshev
- 24I. Azyavin
- 50A. Golubev
- 54I. Shmakov
- 64O. Lanin
- 62V. Karpov
- 17E. Valiakhmetov
- 23N. Chistyakov
- 27A. Cherny
- 66N. Yanovich
Computed on October 25, 2026 at 10:33 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC UFA have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Shinnik Yaroslavl have 5, 7 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | Nizhny Novgorod(home) | 0-1 | First League |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Arsenal Tula(home) | 2-0 | First League |
| Oct 11, 2026 | FC Sochi(away) | 0-1 | First League |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Torpedo Moskva(home) | 0-0 | First League |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Chelyabinsk(away) | 1-2 | First League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Veles(away) | 1-1 | First League |
| Oct 14, 2026 | Nizhny Novgorod(away) | 0-4 | Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Tekstilshchik(home) | 2-0 | First League |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Ska-khabarovsk(home) | 0-0 | First League |
| Sep 18, 2026 | KAMAZ(home) | 0-1 | First League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 FC UFA wins, 0 draws, 4 Shinnik Yaroslavl wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2026 | Shinnik Yaroslavl 1-0 FC UFA | First League |
| Aug 2, 2025 | FC UFA 1-0 Shinnik Yaroslavl | First League |
| Apr 27, 2025 | FC UFA 1-0 Shinnik Yaroslavl | First League |
| Oct 15, 2024 | FC UFA 0-1 Shinnik Yaroslavl | Cup |
| Sep 7, 2024 | Shinnik Yaroslavl 2-0 FC UFA | First League |
| Mar 19, 2023 | FC UFA 1-2 Shinnik Yaroslavl | First League |
Last archived meeting: Shinnik Yaroslavl vs FC UFA on Mar 9, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
FC UFA score 1.0 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Shinnik Yaroslavl score 1.2 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 37% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC UFA | 1.0 | 1.1 | 4 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
| Shinnik Yaroslavl | 1.2 | 1.1 | 6 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
FC UFA sit 7th in First League (21 points from 15 matches) and Shinnik Yaroslavl sit 8th (20 points from 14 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | FC UFA | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 18 | 15 | 21 |
| 8 | Shinnik Yaroslavl | 14 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 18 | 14 | 20 |
A question about FC UFA vs Shinnik Yaroslavl?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for FC UFA vs Shinnik Yaroslavl?
- The Footlab AI model makes FC UFA the favourite at 38%, against 31% for a draw and 31% for Shinnik Yaroslavl.
- Where and when is FC UFA vs Shinnik Yaroslavl played?
- FC UFA vs Shinnik Yaroslavl is played on April 14, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at BetBoom Аrena, in the First League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 37% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.