FC UFA vs Shinnik Yaroslavl: prediction and stats
First LeagueRegular Season - 27Kick-off on April 14, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)BetBoom Аrena, Ufa
The Footlab model makes FC UFA the favourite at 38%, against 30% for a draw and 32% for Shinnik Yaroslavl. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win FC UFA vs Shinnik Yaroslavl?
A very open match: only 58 Elo points separate FC UFA (1,796) and Shinnik Yaroslavl (1,854).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC UFA have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Shinnik Yaroslavl have 7, 7 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Enisey(home) | 3-1 | First League |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Spartak Kostroma(away) | 1-1 | First League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Ural(away) | 0-3 | First League |
| Aug 3, 2026 | KAMAZ(home) | 1-1 | First League |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Ska-khabarovsk(home) | 1-0 | First League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Volga Ulyanovsk(away) | 3-1 | First League |
| Aug 14, 2026 | FK Neftekhimik(away) | 2-0 | First League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Arsenal Tula(home) | 2-2 | First League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Nizhny Novgorod(away) | 0-3 | First League |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Torpedo Moskva(away) | 1-1 | First League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 FC UFA win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 Shinnik Yaroslavl win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2026 | Shinnik Yaroslavl 1-0 FC UFA | First League |
| Aug 2, 2025 | FC UFA 1-0 Shinnik Yaroslavl | First League |
| Apr 27, 2025 | FC UFA 1-0 Shinnik Yaroslavl | First League |
| Oct 15, 2024 | FC UFA 0-1 Shinnik Yaroslavl | Cup |
| Sep 7, 2024 | Shinnik Yaroslavl 2-0 FC UFA | First League |
| Mar 19, 2023 | FC UFA 1-2 Shinnik Yaroslavl | First League |
Last archived meeting: Shinnik Yaroslavl vs FC UFA on Mar 9, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
FC UFA score 1.1 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Shinnik Yaroslavl score 1.7 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC UFA | 1.1 | 0.9 | 6 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
| Shinnik Yaroslavl | 1.7 | 1.0 | 6 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
FC UFA sit 7th in First League (12 points from 7 matches) and Shinnik Yaroslavl sit 6th (12 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Shinnik Yaroslavl | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 9 | 12 |
| 7 | FC UFA | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 8 | 12 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for FC UFA vs Shinnik Yaroslavl?
- The Footlab model makes FC UFA the favourite at 38%, against 30% for a draw and 32% for Shinnik Yaroslavl.
- Where and when is FC UFA vs Shinnik Yaroslavl played?
- FC UFA vs Shinnik Yaroslavl is played on April 14, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at BetBoom Аrena, in the First League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.