Where and when is Chemnitzer FC vs Luckenwalde played?

Chemnitzer FC vs Luckenwalde is played on May 23, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Chemnitz, in the Regionalliga - Nordost.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Chemnitzer FC vs Luckenwalde: prediction and stats

Regionalliga - NordostNordost - 34Kick-off on May 23, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Chemnitz, Chemnitz

Chemnitzer FC

Luckenwalde

The Footlab model makes Chemnitzer FC the favourite at 64%, against 21% for a draw and 15% for Luckenwalde. The most likely score is 2-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Chemnitzer FC vs Luckenwalde?

Chemnitzer FC starts as the favourite with a 218-point Elo edge (1,991 vs 1,773).

Chemnitzer FC win64 %

Draw21 %

Luckenwalde win15 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chemnitzer FC have 11 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeats; Luckenwalde have 3, 4 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Chemnitzer FC
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 25, 2026	Lokomotive Leipzig(away)	2-0	Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 15, 2026	Erzgebirge Aue(home)	3-1	Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 9, 2026	Hallescher FC(away)	0-0	Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 4, 2026	FSV Zwickau(home)	3-1	Regionalliga - Nordost
Jul 31, 2026	BFC Preussen(home)	3-0	Regionalliga - Nordost

Luckenwalde
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 25, 2026	FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt(home)	0-5	Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 14, 2026	FSV Zwickau(away)	1-2	Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 8, 2026	Tasmania Berlin(home)	1-2	Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 4, 2026	Magdeburg II(away)	1-0	Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 1, 2026	RSV Eintracht(away)	0-3	Regionalliga - Nordost

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Chemnitzer FC win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Luckenwalde win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Dec 13, 2025	Chemnitzer FC 3-3 Luckenwalde	Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 2, 2025	Luckenwalde 2-1 Chemnitzer FC	Regionalliga - Nordost
Apr 6, 2025	Chemnitzer FC 2-0 Luckenwalde	Regionalliga - Nordost
Oct 5, 2024	Luckenwalde 0-2 Chemnitzer FC	Regionalliga - Nordost
Apr 6, 2024	Luckenwalde 1-2 Chemnitzer FC	Regionalliga - Nordost
Oct 20, 2023	Chemnitzer FC 1-2 Luckenwalde	Regionalliga - Nordost

Last archived meeting: Chemnitzer FC vs Luckenwalde on Dec 13, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Chemnitzer FC score 2.4 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Luckenwalde score 0.9 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Chemnitzer FC	2.4	1.0	6	9/15	12/15
Luckenwalde	0.9	1.7	3	8/15	7/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Chemnitzer FC sit 2nd in Regionalliga - Nordost (16 points from 6 matches) and Luckenwalde sit 15th (3 points from 6 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
2	Chemnitzer FC	6	5	1	0	15	2	16
15	Luckenwalde	6	1	0	5	5	16	3

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Chemnitzer FC vs Luckenwalde?: The Footlab model makes Chemnitzer FC the favourite at 64%, against 21% for a draw and 15% for Luckenwalde.
Where and when is Chemnitzer FC vs Luckenwalde played?: Chemnitzer FC vs Luckenwalde is played on May 23, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Chemnitz, in the Regionalliga - Nordost.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.