Altglienicke vs FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - NordostNordost - 34Kick-off on May 23, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Friedrich-Ludwig-Jahn-Sportpark, Berlin
The Footlab model makes FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt the favourite at 42%, against 24% for a draw and 34% for Altglienicke. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Altglienicke vs FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt?
A very open match: only 66 Elo points separate Altglienicke (1,955) and FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt (2,021).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Altglienicke have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | VfL Wolfsburg(home) | 3-3 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Hallescher FC(home) | 2-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Hertha BSC II(home) | 3-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Greifswalder FC(away) | 3-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 4, 2026 | SV Babelsberg 03(away) | 2-2 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Luckenwalde(away) | 5-0 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Magdeburg II(home) | 4-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 9, 2026 | FC Carl Zeiss Jena(away) | 2-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Tasmania Berlin(home) | 6-0 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Hallescher FC(away) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Altglienicke win(s), 4 draw(s), 2 FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 15, 2026 | FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt 1-1 Altglienicke | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 26, 2025 | Altglienicke 1-3 FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| May 11, 2025 | Altglienicke 0-1 FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Nov 23, 2024 | FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt 1-1 Altglienicke | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Feb 24, 2024 | FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt 2-2 Altglienicke | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 31, 2023 | Altglienicke 1-1 FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt | Regionalliga - Nordost |
Last archived meeting: FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt vs Altglienicke on Apr 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Altglienicke score 2.1 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt score 2.7 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Altglienicke | 2.1 | 1.2 | 4 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt | 2.7 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Altglienicke sit 3rd in Regionalliga - Nordost (11 points from 5 matches) and FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt sit 1st (16 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 22 | 4 | 16 |
| 3 | Altglienicke | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 13 | 8 | 11 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Altglienicke vs FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt?
- The Footlab model makes FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt the favourite at 42%, against 24% for a draw and 34% for Altglienicke.
- Where and when is Altglienicke vs FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt played?
- Altglienicke vs FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt is played on May 23, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Friedrich-Ludwig-Jahn-Sportpark, in the Regionalliga - Nordost.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- May 23, 2027FSV ZwickauvsMagdeburg II
- May 23, 2027Hallescher FCvsBFC Dynamo
- May 23, 2027FC Carl Zeiss JenavsGreifswalder FC
- May 23, 2027Chemnitzer FCvsLuckenwalde
- May 23, 2027SV Babelsberg 03vsErzgebirge Aue
- May 23, 2027BSG Chemie LeipzigvsBFC Preussen
- May 23, 2027Hertha BSC IIvsTasmania Berlin
- May 23, 2027RSV EintrachtvsLokomotive Leipzig