Hertha BSC II vs Tasmania Berlin: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - NordostNordost - 34Kick-off on May 23, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Olympiapark-Amateurstadion, Berlin
The Footlab model makes Hertha BSC II the favourite at 39%, against 25% for a draw and 35% for Tasmania Berlin. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hertha BSC II vs Tasmania Berlin?
A very open match: only 25 Elo points separate Hertha BSC II (1,793) and Tasmania Berlin (1,818).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hertha BSC II have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Tasmania Berlin have 8, 0 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 26, 2026 | Erzgebirge Aue(away) | 0-0 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 14, 2026 | BFC Dynamo(home) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Altglienicke(away) | 1-3 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Lokomotive Leipzig(away) | 2-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Greifswalder FC(home) | 1-4 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Lokomotive Leipzig(home) | 2-3 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Luckenwalde(away) | 2-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 5, 2026 | FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt(away) | 0-6 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Erzgebirge Aue(home) | 0-2 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Magdeburg II(away) | 1-5 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 3 Hertha BSC II win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Tasmania Berlin win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 30, 2024 | Tasmania Berlin 0-7 Hertha BSC II | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 16, 2022 | Hertha BSC II 3-1 Tasmania Berlin | Friendlies Clubs |
| Dec 17, 2021 | Hertha BSC II 5-3 Tasmania Berlin | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Jul 31, 2021 | Tasmania Berlin 1-1 Hertha BSC II | Regionalliga - Nordost |
Last archived meeting: Tasmania Berlin vs Hertha BSC II on Jun 30, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Hertha BSC II score 1.0 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Tasmania Berlin score 2.3 and concede 2.5. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hertha BSC II | 1.0 | 1.7 | 3 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Tasmania Berlin | 2.3 | 2.5 | 3 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Hertha BSC II sit 14th in Regionalliga - Nordost (5 points from 6 matches) and Tasmania Berlin sit 16th (3 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Hertha BSC II | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 5 |
| 16 | Tasmania Berlin | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hertha BSC II vs Tasmania Berlin?
- The Footlab model makes Hertha BSC II the favourite at 39%, against 25% for a draw and 35% for Tasmania Berlin.
- Where and when is Hertha BSC II vs Tasmania Berlin played?
- Hertha BSC II vs Tasmania Berlin is played on May 23, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Olympiapark-Amateurstadion, in the Regionalliga - Nordost.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- May 23, 2027FSV ZwickauvsMagdeburg II
- May 23, 2027Hallescher FCvsBFC Dynamo
- May 23, 2027FC Carl Zeiss JenavsGreifswalder FC
- May 23, 2027Chemnitzer FCvsLuckenwalde
- May 23, 2027SV Babelsberg 03vsErzgebirge Aue
- May 23, 2027BSG Chemie LeipzigvsBFC Preussen
- May 23, 2027AltglienickevsFC Rot-Weiß Erfurt
- May 23, 2027RSV EintrachtvsLokomotive Leipzig