Match

Hertha BSC II vs Tasmania Berlin: prediction and stats

Regionalliga - NordostNordost - 34Kick-off on May 23, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Olympiapark-Amateurstadion, Berlin

Hertha BSC IITasmania Berlin

The Footlab model makes Hertha BSC II the favourite at 39%, against 25% for a draw and 35% for Tasmania Berlin. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Hertha BSC II vs Tasmania Berlin?

A very open match: only 25 Elo points separate Hertha BSC II (1,793) and Tasmania Berlin (1,818).

Hertha BSC II win39 %
Draw25 %
Tasmania Berlin win35 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hertha BSC II have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Tasmania Berlin have 8, 0 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Hertha BSC II
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 26, 2026Erzgebirge Aue(away)0-0Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 14, 2026BFC Dynamo(home)1-1Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 11, 2026Altglienicke(away)1-3Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 8, 2026Lokomotive Leipzig(away)2-1Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 4, 2026Greifswalder FC(home)1-4Regionalliga - Nordost
Tasmania Berlin
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 16, 2026Lokomotive Leipzig(home)2-3Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 8, 2026Luckenwalde(away)2-1Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 5, 2026FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt(away)0-6Regionalliga - Nordost
Jul 31, 2026Erzgebirge Aue(home)0-2Regionalliga - Nordost
Jul 25, 2026Magdeburg II(away)1-5Regionalliga - Nordost

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 3 Hertha BSC II win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Tasmania Berlin win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Jun 30, 2024Tasmania Berlin 0-7 Hertha BSC IIFriendlies Clubs
Jul 16, 2022Hertha BSC II 3-1 Tasmania BerlinFriendlies Clubs
Dec 17, 2021Hertha BSC II 5-3 Tasmania BerlinRegionalliga - Nordost
Jul 31, 2021Tasmania Berlin 1-1 Hertha BSC IIRegionalliga - Nordost

Last archived meeting: Tasmania Berlin vs Hertha BSC II on Jun 30, 2024

How many goals should we expect?

Hertha BSC II score 1.0 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Tasmania Berlin score 2.3 and concede 2.5. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Hertha BSC II1.01.738/158/15
Tasmania Berlin2.32.539/1512/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Hertha BSC II sit 14th in Regionalliga - Nordost (5 points from 6 matches) and Tasmania Berlin sit 16th (3 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
14Hertha BSC II61235135
16Tasmania Berlin51046183

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Hertha BSC II vs Tasmania Berlin?
The Footlab model makes Hertha BSC II the favourite at 39%, against 25% for a draw and 35% for Tasmania Berlin.
Where and when is Hertha BSC II vs Tasmania Berlin played?
Hertha BSC II vs Tasmania Berlin is played on May 23, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Olympiapark-Amateurstadion, in the Regionalliga - Nordost.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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