Chênois vs Prishtina Bern: prediction and stats
1. Liga Classic - Group 1Group 1 - 5Kick-off on September 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stade des Trois-Chênes, Chêne-Bourg
The Footlab model makes Chênois the favourite at 48%, against 22% for a draw and 30% for Prishtina Bern. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Chênois vs Prishtina Bern?
A very open match: only 22 Elo points separate Chênois (1,767) and Prishtina Bern (1,746).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chênois have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Prishtina Bern have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Meyrin(home) | 3-1 | 1. Liga Classic - Group 1 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Echallens(away) | 1-2 | 1. Liga Classic - Group 1 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Naters(home) | 3-4 | 1. Liga Classic - Group 1 |
| May 30, 2026 | Meyrin(away) | 2-2 | 1. Liga Classic - Group 1 |
| May 23, 2026 | Echallens(home) | 4-0 | 1. Liga Classic - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Vevey Sports(away) | 3-2 | 1. Liga Classic - Group 1 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Portalban / Gletterens(home) | 2-1 | 1. Liga Classic - Group 1 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Sion II(away) | 1-1 | 1. Liga Classic - Group 1 |
| May 30, 2026 | Stade Payerne(home) | 0-2 | 1. Liga Classic - Group 1 |
| May 23, 2026 | Monthey(away) | 5-3 | 1. Liga Classic - Group 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Chênois win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Prishtina Bern win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 2, 2026 | Prishtina Bern 2-3 Chênois | 1. Liga Classic - Group 1 |
| Oct 25, 2025 | Chênois 2-2 Prishtina Bern | 1. Liga Classic - Group 1 |
Last archived meeting: Prishtina Bern vs Chênois on May 2, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Chênois score 2.1 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Prishtina Bern score 1.9 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 72% probability of over 2.5 goals and 71% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chênois | 2.1 | 1.6 | 4 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
| Prishtina Bern | 1.9 | 1.7 | 1 | 12/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Chênois sit 9th in 1. Liga Classic - Group 1 (3 points from 3 matches) and Prishtina Bern sit 2nd (7 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Prishtina Bern | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 7 |
| 9 | Chênois | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Chênois vs Prishtina Bern?
- The Footlab model makes Chênois the favourite at 48%, against 22% for a draw and 30% for Prishtina Bern.
- Where and when is Chênois vs Prishtina Bern played?
- Chênois vs Prishtina Bern is played on September 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stade des Trois-Chênes, in the 1. Liga Classic - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 72% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.