Chênois vs Stade Payerne: prediction and stats
Erste Liga CupSemi-finalsKick-off on October 17, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stade des Trois-Chênes, Chêne-Bourg
The Footlab AI model makes Chênois the favourite at 62%, against 19% for a draw and 19% for Stade Payerne. The most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Chênois vs Stade Payerne?
Chênois starts as the favourite with a 127-point Elo edge (1,587 vs 1,460).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Chênois vs Stade Payerne
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Chênois
4-3-3- HH. Munishi
- AAnge Mawete N'Silu
- TThomas Richard
- JJocelyn Mboso
- GGiulio Imbriaco
- RR. Khelil
- FFabrice Guzel
- TTimo Ribeiro
- AArnaud Kanda
- BBetim Bilalli
- JJoao Paulo Castanheira
Stade Payerne
Not enough data to predict the Stade Payerne lineup.
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 11:54 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chênois have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Stade Payerne have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Servette II(away) | 1-2 | 1. Liga Classic - Group 1 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Vevey Sports(home) | 0-4 | 1. Liga Classic - Group 1 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Portalban / Gletterens(away) | 1-1 | 1. Liga Classic - Group 1 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Sion II(home) | 2-0 | 1. Liga Classic - Group 1 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Lancy(away) | 4-2 | 1. Liga Classic - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Vevey Sports(away) | 3-1 | 1. Liga Classic - Group 1 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Portalban / Gletterens(home) | 0-3 | 1. Liga Classic - Group 1 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Sion II(away) | 0-2 | 1. Liga Classic - Group 1 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Lancy(home) | 3-1 | 1. Liga Classic - Group 1 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Prishtina Bern(away) | 1-4 | 1. Liga Classic - Group 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Chênois win, 2 draws, 1 Stade Payerne win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2026 | Chênois 2-0 Stade Payerne | 1. Liga Classic - Group 1 |
| Aug 30, 2025 | Stade Payerne 0-0 Chênois | 1. Liga Classic - Group 1 |
| May 10, 2025 | Chênois 1-2 Stade Payerne | 1. Liga Classic - Group 1 |
| Nov 2, 2024 | Stade Payerne 2-2 Chênois | 1. Liga Classic - Group 1 |
Last archived meeting: Chênois vs Stade Payerne on Mar 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Chênois score 1.8 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Stade Payerne score 1.7 and concede 2.2. The model gives a 75% probability of over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chênois | 1.8 | 1.7 | 3 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Stade Payerne | 1.7 | 2.2 | 3 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Chênois vs Stade Payerne?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Chênois vs Stade Payerne?
- The Footlab AI model makes Chênois the favourite at 62%, against 19% for a draw and 19% for Stade Payerne.
- Where and when is Chênois vs Stade Payerne played?
- Chênois vs Stade Payerne is played on October 17, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stade des Trois-Chênes, in the Erste Liga Cup.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 75% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.