Cherepovets vs Dinamo Vologda: prediction and stats
Second League - Group 2Group 2 - 25Kick-off on September 27, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Metallurg, Cherepovets
The Footlab model makes Dinamo Vologda the favourite at 37%, against 28% for a draw and 35% for Cherepovets. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Cherepovets vs Dinamo Vologda?
A very open match: only 90 Elo points separate Cherepovets (1,625) and Dinamo Vologda (1,715).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cherepovets have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Dinamo Vologda have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Dinamo St. Petersburg(away) | 0-0 | Second League - Group 2 |
| Aug 12, 2026 | FC Tosno(away) | 0-0 | Cup |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Spartak Moscow 2(home) | 1-1 | Second League - Group 2 |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Tver(away) | 0-5 | Second League - Group 2 |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Iskra Smolensk(home) | 2-1 | Second League - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Luki-Energiya(home) | 2-2 | Second League - Group 2 |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Zvezda St. Petersburg(away) | 1-1 | Second League - Group 2 |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Tver(home) | 2-0 | Cup |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Torpedo Vladimir(home) | 0-1 | Second League - Group 2 |
| Jul 5, 2026 | Yenisey II(home) | 4-0 | Second League - Group 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 0 Cherepovets win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Dinamo Vologda win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 7, 2026 | Dinamo Vologda 2-2 Cherepovets | Second League - Group 2 |
| Aug 24, 2025 | Dinamo Vologda 1-0 Cherepovets | Second League - Group 2 |
| May 4, 2025 | Cherepovets 0-2 Dinamo Vologda | Second League - Group 2 |
| Jul 30, 2024 | Cherepovets 0-1 Dinamo Vologda | Cup |
Last archived meeting: Dinamo Vologda vs Cherepovets on Jun 7, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Cherepovets score 0.9 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Dinamo Vologda score 1.3 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cherepovets | 0.9 | 1.7 | 4 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Dinamo Vologda | 1.3 | 1.2 | 3 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Cherepovets sit 6th in Second League - Group 2 (19 points from 11 matches) and Dinamo Vologda sit 8th (14 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Cherepovets | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 15 | 19 |
| 8 | Dinamo Vologda | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 11 | 14 |
| 8 | Cherepovets | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 20 | 28 | 24 |
| 9 | Dinamo Vologda | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 25 | 20 | 23 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Cherepovets vs Dinamo Vologda?
- The Footlab model makes Dinamo Vologda the favourite at 37%, against 28% for a draw and 35% for Cherepovets.
- Where and when is Cherepovets vs Dinamo Vologda played?
- Cherepovets vs Dinamo Vologda is played on September 27, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Metallurg, in the Second League - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.