Cherno More Varna vs Ludogorets: result 2-3 and analysis
First LeagueRegular Season - 4Kick-off on August 9, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Ticha, Varna
Full time
What was the result of Cherno More Varna vs Ludogorets?
Ludogorets won 2-3 on August 9, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 30′G. LazarovCherno More Varna
- 48′Rwan CruzLudogorets
- 51′Rwan CruzLudogorets
- 53′I. ChochevLudogorets
- 84′N. ZlatevCherno More Varna
What had the model predicted before the match?
Before kick-off, the Footlab AI model gave a Ludogorets win at 56%: prediction correct. Most likely score announced: 0-1. Actual score: 2-3.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Official lineup for Cherno More Varna vs Ludogorets
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Cherno More Varna
3-5-2- 20A. Kolev
- 19G. Lazarov
- 13E. Nyagolov
- 11M. Achi
- 24David Teles
- 71V. Panayotov
- 50E. Tombak
- 26João Bandaró
- 5L. Squadrone
- 3Z. Atanasov
- 81K. Tomov
Ludogorets
4-2-3-1- 12Rwan Cruz
- 37B. Tekpetey
- 14P. Stanić
- 7A. Salido Tajero
- 26F. Kaloč
- 18I. Chochev
- 42S. Shishkov
- 3A. Nedyalkov
- 15E. Kurtulus
- 2J. Andersson
- 39H. Bonmann
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cherno More Varna have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Ludogorets have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 1, 2026 | Botev Plovdiv(away) | 0-1 | First League |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Spartak Varna(home) | 0-3 | First League |
| Jul 19, 2026 | Botev Vratsa(away) | 1-1 | First League |
| Jul 8, 2026 | Farul Constanta(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 8, 2026 | Dobrudzha(home) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 2, 2026 | Botev Vratsa(home) | 2-1 | First League |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Hapoel Tel Aviv(home) | 2-2 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Jul 27, 2026 | Dunav Ruse(away) | 2-0 | First League |
| Jul 23, 2026 | Hapoel Tel Aviv(away) | 0-2 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Lokomotiv Plovdiv(home) | 1-0 | First League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Cherno More Varna win, 4 draws, 1 Ludogorets win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 9, 2026 | Ludogorets 0-0 Cherno More Varna | First League |
| Nov 2, 2025 | Cherno More Varna 0-0 Ludogorets | First League |
| May 13, 2025 | Cherno More Varna 2-0 Ludogorets | First League |
| Apr 27, 2025 | Ludogorets 2-0 Cherno More Varna | First League |
| Feb 22, 2025 | Cherno More Varna 1-1 Ludogorets | First League |
| Sep 1, 2024 | Ludogorets 0-0 Cherno More Varna | First League |
Last archived meeting: Ludogorets vs Cherno More Varna on Apr 9, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Cherno More Varna score 0.9 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Ludogorets score 1.3 and concede 1.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cherno More Varna | 0.9 | 1.5 | 7 | 4/15 | 6/15 |
| Ludogorets | 1.3 | 1.0 | 6 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Cherno More Varna sit 9th in First League (13 points from 14 matches) and Ludogorets sit 3rd (30 points from 13 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Ludogorets | 13 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 26 | 11 | 30 |
| 9 | Cherno More Varna | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 14 | 22 | 13 |
A question about Cherno More Varna vs Ludogorets?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy