Ludogorets vs Dunav Ruse: prediction and stats
First LeagueRegular Season - 15Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Huvepharma Arena, Razgrad
The Footlab AI model makes Ludogorets the favourite at 74%, against 18% for a draw and 8% for Dunav Ruse. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,495 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ludogorets vs Dunav Ruse?
Ludogorets starts as the favourite with a 281-point Elo edge (1,963 vs 1,682).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Ludogorets vs Dunav Ruse
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Ludogorets
4-2-3-1- 12Rwan Cruz
- 23Deroy Duarte
- 14P. Stanić
- 6I. Zhelizko
- 18I. Chochev
- 17Son
- 42S. Shishkov
- 15E. Kurtulus
- 2J. Andersson
- 4Hossam Abdelmaguid
- 39H. Bonmann
Dunav Ruse
3-5-2- 9Álex Valiño
- 11D. Minchev
- 14R. Apostolov
- 23Jordan Layn Saint-Louis
- 10K. Boychev
- 44V. Vidaković
- 17N. Fonkeu
- 88D. Todorov
- 5K. Antoniou
- 4J. Cabarcas
- 33G. Kitanov
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 02:07 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ludogorets have 10 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats; Dunav Ruse have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2026 | Arda Kardzhali(home) | 5-0 | First League |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Cherno More Varna(home) | 5-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 27, 2026 | CSM Ramnicu Valcea(home) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Septemvri Sofia(home) | 2-1 | First League |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Lokomotiv Sofia(away) | 2-1 | First League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Septemvri Sofia(away) | 3-2 | First League |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Ludogorets II(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Botev Vratsa(home) | 2-2 | First League |
| Sep 12, 2026 | CSKA 1948(away) | 1-2 | First League |
| Sep 7, 2026 | Slavia Sofia(home) | 0-1 | First League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 6 Ludogorets wins, 0 draws, 0 Dunav Ruse wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 27, 2026 | Dunav Ruse 0-2 Ludogorets | First League |
| May 29, 2020 | Ludogorets 4-0 Dunav Ruse | Friendlies Clubs |
| Mar 8, 2020 | Ludogorets 5-1 Dunav Ruse | First League |
| Sep 29, 2019 | Dunav Ruse 0-1 Ludogorets | First League |
| Dec 16, 2018 | Dunav Ruse 0-2 Ludogorets | First League |
| Sep 2, 2018 | Ludogorets 3-1 Dunav Ruse | First League |
Last archived meeting: Dunav Ruse vs Ludogorets on Jul 27, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Ludogorets score 2.1 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Dunav Ruse score 1.1 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 41% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ludogorets | 2.1 | 0.8 | 6 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Dunav Ruse | 1.1 | 1.7 | 0 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ludogorets sit 3rd in First League (26 points from 10 matches) and Dunav Ruse sit 10th (8 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Ludogorets | 10 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 21 | 7 | 26 |
| 10 | Dunav Ruse | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 13 | 21 | 8 |
A question about Ludogorets vs Dunav Ruse?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ludogorets vs Dunav Ruse?
- The Footlab AI model makes Ludogorets the favourite at 74%, against 18% for a draw and 8% for Dunav Ruse.
- Where and when is Ludogorets vs Dunav Ruse played?
- Ludogorets vs Dunav Ruse is played on November 21, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Huvepharma Arena, in the First League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.