Ludogorets vs Dunav Ruse: prediction and stats
First LeagueRegular Season - 15Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Huvepharma Arena, Razgrad
The Footlab model makes Ludogorets the favourite at 61%, against 24% for a draw and 15% for Dunav Ruse. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ludogorets vs Dunav Ruse?
Ludogorets starts as the favourite with a 256-point Elo edge (1,987 vs 1,731).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ludogorets have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Dunav Ruse have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Slavia Sofia(home) | 1-1 | First League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Botev Plovdiv(home) | 2-0 | First League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Cherno More Varna(away) | 3-2 | First League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Botev Vratsa(home) | 2-1 | First League |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Hapoel Tel Aviv(home) | 2-2 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Cherno More Varna(away) | 1-3 | First League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Lokomotiv Plovdiv(away) | 2-1 | First League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Arda Kardzhali(home) | 0-2 | First League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | CSKA Sofia(away) | 1-2 | First League |
| Jul 27, 2026 | Ludogorets(home) | 0-2 | First League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 6 Ludogorets win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Dunav Ruse win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 27, 2026 | Dunav Ruse 0-2 Ludogorets | First League |
| May 29, 2020 | Ludogorets 4-0 Dunav Ruse | Friendlies Clubs |
| Mar 8, 2020 | Ludogorets 5-1 Dunav Ruse | First League |
| Sep 29, 2019 | Dunav Ruse 0-1 Ludogorets | First League |
| Dec 16, 2018 | Dunav Ruse 0-2 Ludogorets | First League |
| Sep 2, 2018 | Ludogorets 3-1 Dunav Ruse | First League |
Last archived meeting: Dunav Ruse vs Ludogorets on Jul 27, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Ludogorets score 1.6 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Dunav Ruse score 0.9 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ludogorets | 1.6 | 1.1 | 5 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
| Dunav Ruse | 0.9 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ludogorets sit 1st in First League (16 points from 6 matches) and Dunav Ruse sit 12th (3 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ludogorets | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 4 | 16 |
| 12 | Dunav Ruse | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ludogorets vs Dunav Ruse?
- The Footlab model makes Ludogorets the favourite at 61%, against 24% for a draw and 15% for Dunav Ruse.
- Where and when is Ludogorets vs Dunav Ruse played?
- Ludogorets vs Dunav Ruse is played on November 21, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Huvepharma Arena, in the First League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.