Chertsey Town vs Bath City: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - Southern SouthRegular Season - 42Kick-off on April 17, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Alwyns Lane Football Ground, Chertsey, Surrey
The Footlab AI model makes Chertsey Town the favourite at 58%, against 22% for a draw and 20% for Bath City. The most likely score is 1-1. If Chertsey Town wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 5,404 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 11, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Chertsey Town vs Bath City?
Chertsey Town starts as the favourite with a 107-point Elo edge (1,778 vs 1,671).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Chertsey Town vs Bath City
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Chertsey Town
Not enough data to predict the Chertsey Town lineup.
Bath City
Not enough data to predict the Bath City lineup.
Computed on November 11, 2026 at 02:20 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chertsey Town have 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats; Bath City have 8, 1 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 10, 2026 | Chichester City(home) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Nov 3, 2026 | Bracknell Town(away) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Basingstoke Town(home) | 4-3 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Poole Town(away) | 2-2 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Takeley(away) | 4-0 | FA Trophy |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 10, 2026 | Taunton Town(home) | 0-3 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Nov 7, 2026 | Chichester City(away) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Poole Town(home) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Frome Town(home) | 0-0 | FA Trophy |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Havant & Wville(home) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 1 Chertsey Town win, 0 draws, 0 Bath City wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 16, 2024 | Bath City 2-3 Chertsey Town | FA Trophy |
Last archived meeting: Bath City vs Chertsey Town on Nov 16, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Chertsey Town score 2.3 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Bath City score 1.3 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chertsey Town | 2.3 | 1.4 | 4 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| Bath City | 1.3 | 0.9 | 7 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Chertsey Town sit 5th in Non League Premier - Southern South (29 points from 16 matches) and Bath City sit 6th (29 points from 16 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Chertsey Town | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 35 | 25 | 29 |
| 6 | Bath City | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 21 | 15 | 29 |
A question about Chertsey Town vs Bath City?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Chertsey Town vs Bath City?
- The Footlab AI model makes Chertsey Town the favourite at 58%, against 22% for a draw and 20% for Bath City.
- Where and when is Chertsey Town vs Bath City played?
- Chertsey Town vs Bath City is played on April 17, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Alwyns Lane Football Ground, in the Non League Premier - Southern South.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Apr 17, 2027UxbridgevsHanworth Villa
- Apr 17, 2027Basingstoke TownvsFrome Town
- Apr 17, 2027Bracknell TownvsHanwell Town
- Apr 17, 2027Chichester CityvsYate Town
- Apr 17, 2027Evesham UnitedvsHavant & Wville
- Apr 17, 2027SholingvsWimborne Town
- Apr 17, 2027Chippenham TownvsTaunton Town
- Apr 17, 2027Gloucester CityvsPoole Town